Oregon State

Pac-12 · 0–2 · MRI Classic #96

Power-11.5#107 of 138

Résumé-0.32#144 · wins above average

Movement+6up from #113 last week

Worst lossHouston (20–33)
Schedule faced+13.1 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-7.8 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

Wk		Opponent	Result	Expected	Perf
1	at	Houston	L 20–33	-21.5	+8.5
2	vs	Texas Tech	L 24–35	-27.5	+16.5

Remaining schedule

Wk		Opponent	Projected	Win prob
3	vs	Montana FCS	+27.4	95%
4	at	UTEP	+6.1	64%
5	at	Colorado State	-5.5	37%
6	vs	San Diego State	-5.7	36%
7	vs	Washington State	-8.3	31%
9	at	Fresno State	-15.3	18%
10	vs	Texas State	-2.0	45%
11	at	Boise State	-26.6	5%

Season by season

Best finish: #16 in 2022. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

Season	Rank	Rec	Rating
2025	113 of 136	2–10	-13.82	Power
2024	90 of 134	5–7	-4.41	Power
2023	17 of 133	8–5	14.12	Power
2022	16 of 131	10–3	14.24	Power
2021	56 of 130	7–6	4.55	Power
2020	79 of 128	2–5	-1.67	Power
2019	75 of 130	5–7	11.78	MRI
2018	126 of 130	2–10	-52.67	MRI
2017	123 of 130	1–11	-58.92	MRI
2016	86 of 128	4–8	2.26	MRI
2015	118 of 128	2–10	-42.72	MRI
2014	88 of 128	5–7	1.70	MRI
2013	61 of 126	7–6	28.73	MRI
2012	27 of 124	9–4	55.86	MRI
2011	93 of 120	3–9	-10.68	MRI
2010	59 of 120	5–7	24.04	MRI
2009	29 of 120	8–5	50.20	MRI
2008	18 of 120	9–4	59.88	MRI
2007	25 of 120	9–4	55.28	MRI
2006	37 of 119	10–4	47.80	MRI
2005	85 of 119	5–6	8.95	MRI
2004	25 of 117	7–5	60.51	MRI
2003	23 of 117	8–5	67.16	MRI