The MRI
2026 · Week 2

UCF

Big 12 · 1–1 · MRI Classic #66

Power+3.3#56 of 138
Résumé-0.10#105 · wins above average
Movement+13up from #69 last week
Best winBethune-Cookman (73–6)
Worst lossPittsburgh (7–12)
Schedule faced-11.3 avg opponent
Schedule ahead+3.7 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 vs Bethune-Cookman FCS W 73–6 +42.2 +24.8
2 at Pittsburgh L 7–12 -13.0 +8.0

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs Georgia State +19.6 88%
4 vs TCU -0.5 49%
5 at Houston -6.8 34%
6 at Oklahoma State +9.4 72%
8 vs BYU -11.7 24%
9 vs Baylor +3.1 57%
10 at Kansas -2.7 44%
11 vs Arizona State +0.5 51%

Season by season

Best finish: #8 in 2018. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 150 2003: #110 of 117 (3-9)2004: #116 of 117 (0-11)2005: #62 of 119 (8-5)2006: #97 of 119 (4-8)2007: #23 of 120 (10-4)2008: #99 of 120 (4-8)2009: #57 of 120 (8-5)2010: #19 of 120 (11-3)2011: #48 of 120 (5-7)2012: #17 of 124 (10-4)2013: #19 of 126 (12-1)2014: #42 of 128 (9-4)2015: #127 of 128 (0-12)2016: #63 of 128 (6-7)2017: #11 of 130 (12-0)2018: #8 of 130 (12-1)2019: #11 of 130 (10-3)2020: #56 of 128 (6-4)2021: #57 of 130 (9-4)2022: #45 of 131 (9-5)2023: #42 of 133 (6-7)2024: #52 of 134 (4-8)2025: #72 of 136 (5-7) 2003 2025

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025 72 of 136 5–7 -0.41 Power
2024 52 of 134 4–8 4.40 Power
2023 42 of 133 6–7 6.74 Power
2022 45 of 131 9–5 7.25 Power
2021 57 of 130 9–4 4.11 Power
2020 56 of 128 6–4 2.60 Power
2019 11 of 130 10–3 82.35 MRI
2018 8 of 130 12–1 81.55 MRI
2017 11 of 130 12–0 91.71 MRI
2016 63 of 128 6–7 21.22 MRI
2015 127 of 128 0–12 -82.54 MRI
2014 42 of 128 9–4 39.90 MRI
2013 19 of 126 12–1 67.40 MRI
2012 17 of 124 10–4 64.48 MRI
2011 48 of 120 5–7 31.90 MRI
2010 19 of 120 11–3 64.99 MRI
2009 57 of 120 8–5 27.40 MRI
2008 99 of 120 4–8 -18.15 MRI
2007 23 of 120 10–4 60.64 MRI
2006 97 of 119 4–8 -8.55 MRI
2005 62 of 119 8–5 28.27 MRI
2004 116 of 117 0–11 -50.20 MRI
2003 110 of 117 3–9 -43.34 MRI