Stetson
ASUN · 0–4
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -20.4 avg | × 33% | -6.8 |
| Opponents faced | +9.2 avg | × 33% | +3.0 |
| Preseason prior | -11.1 | × 67% | -7.4 |
| Power | -11.2 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Clemson | L 72–85 | -28.5 | +15.5 | +0.3 |
| 2 | at | South Carolina | L 55–81 | -22.2 | -3.8 | -1.5 |
| 2 | at | West Virginia | L 53–91 | -30.7 | -7.3 | -1.5 |
| 3 | at | Howard | L 62–75 | -12.0 | -1.0 | -1.1 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -7.4 | |||||
| Power | -11.2 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs | Florida Memorial non-D1 | +25.0 | 99% |
| 4 | at | Louisville | -38.4 | 0% |
| 5 | at | South Florida | -28.0 | 0% |
| 5 | vs | New College (FL) non-D1 | +25.0 | 99% |
| 11 | vs | Florida Gulf Coast | -3.4 | 38% |
| 12 | at | Lipscomb | -12.5 | 13% |
| 12 | at | Bellarmine | -5.5 | 31% |
| 13 | vs | Queens University | -6.5 | 28% |
Season by season
Best finish: #181 in 2023–24. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 12–21 | #326 of 365 · -12.89 | – |
| 2024–25 | 8–24 | #346 of 364 · -15.31 | – |
| 2023–24 | 22–13 | #181 of 362 · -1.66 | – |
| 2022–23 | 17–14 | #189 of 363 · -1.27 | – |
| 2021–22 | 11–19 | #266 of 358 · -6.98 | – |
| 2020–21 | 12–15 | #244 of 347 · -5.20 | – |
| 2019–20 | 14–17 | – | #272 of 353 · -11.23 |
| 2018–19 | 5–24 | – | #332 of 353 · -61.08 |
| 2017–18 | 12–20 | – | #284 of 351 · -15.55 |
| 2016–17 | 11–21 | – | #329 of 351 · -51.38 |
| 2015–16 | 12–22 | – | #298 of 351 · -25.94 |
| 2014–15 | 9–22 | – | #331 of 351 · -49.98 |
| 2013–14 | 7–24 | – | #341 of 351 · -72.74 |
| 2012–13 | 14–16 | – | #236 of 347 · -0.65 |
| 2011–12 | 9–20 | – | #287 of 345 · -21.14 |
| 2010–11 | 8–23 | – | #307 of 346 · -35.11 |
| 2009–10 | 7–22 | – | #332 of 335 · -83.53 |
| 2008–09 | 13–17 | – | #235 of 330 · 1.92 |
| 2007–08 | 16–16 | – | #220 of 328 · 6.19 |
| 2006–07 | 11–20 | – | #293 of 326 · -33.52 |
| 2005–06 | 14–18 | – | #260 of 326 · -9.35 |
| 2004–05 | 10–17 | – | #268 of 326 · -12.14 |