Lafayette
Patriot · 2–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +7.6 avg | × 33% | +2.5 |
| Opponents faced | -10.3 avg | × 33% | -3.4 |
| Preseason prior | -14.8 | × 67% | -9.9 |
| Power | -10.8 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Butler | L 60–96 | -22.4 | -13.6 | -2.0 |
| 2 | vs | Kings (PA) non-D1 | W 104–67 | +25.4 | +11.6 | +0.6 |
| 2 | at | Saint Joseph's | L 57–67 | -16.8 | +6.8 | -0.3 |
| 3 | vs | Penn State Lehigh Valley non-D1 | W 89–46 | +25.4 | +17.6 | +0.8 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -9.9 | |||||
| Power | -10.8 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | St. Bonaventure | -15.2 | 8% |
| 4 | vs | Binghamton | +4.5 | 66% |
| 4 | at | Syracuse | -28.0 | 0% |
| 5 | vs | Niagara | +10.0 | 82% |
| 5 | vs | Maine | +5.3 | 68% |
| 5 | vs | Le Moyne | +3.3 | 62% |
| 9 | at | Richmond | -18.6 | 5% |
Season by season
Best finish: #169 in 2014–15. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 11–21 | #320 of 365 · -12.30 | – |
| 2024–25 | 13–20 | #288 of 364 · -8.55 | – |
| 2023–24 | 11–21 | #322 of 362 · -11.43 | – |
| 2022–23 | 11–23 | #285 of 363 · -7.63 | – |
| 2021–22 | 10–20 | #322 of 358 · -11.64 | – |
| 2020–21 | 9–6 | #238 of 347 · -4.91 | – |
| 2019–20 | 18–12 | – | #214 of 353 · 13.06 |
| 2018–19 | 9–20 | – | #299 of 353 · -30.03 |
| 2017–18 | 10–21 | – | #294 of 351 · -21.06 |
| 2016–17 | 9–21 | – | #338 of 351 · -66.85 |
| 2015–16 | 6–24 | – | #333 of 351 · -57.57 |
| 2014–15 | 20–13 | – | #169 of 351 · 36.12 |
| 2013–14 | 11–20 | – | #282 of 351 · -12.09 |
| 2012–13 | 18–15 | – | #190 of 347 · 22.76 |
| 2011–12 | 13–18 | – | #264 of 345 · -7.91 |
| 2010–11 | 13–19 | – | #241 of 346 · 1.58 |
| 2009–10 | 19–13 | – | #213 of 335 · 13.88 |
| 2008–09 | 8–22 | – | #310 of 330 · -52.04 |
| 2007–08 | 15–15 | – | #181 of 328 · 25.51 |
| 2006–07 | 9–21 | – | #321 of 326 · -61.86 |
| 2005–06 | 11–17 | – | #293 of 326 · -29.96 |
| 2004–05 | 9–18 | – | #291 of 326 · -26.99 |