Seattle U
WCC · 1–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -6.0 avg | × 27% | -1.6 |
| Opponents faced | -5.7 avg | × 27% | -1.6 |
| Preseason prior | +2.3 | × 73% | +1.7 |
| Power | -1.5 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Hawai'i | L 73–74 | -2.2 | +1.2 | +0.4 |
| 2 | vs | Portland State | W 79–60 | +6.9 | +12.1 | +1.2 |
| 3 | vs | UTSA | L 59–86 | +11.0 | -38.0 | -4.8 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | +1.7 | |||||
| Power | -1.5 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Idaho State | +15.0 | 91% |
| 4 | at | California Baptist | +6.0 | 71% |
| 5 | N | UC San Diego | -5.9 | 30% |
| 5 | N | Loyola Chicago | +3.1 | 61% |
| 5 | vs | UC Irvine | -1.3 | 45% |
| 6 | at | San José State | +1.8 | 56% |
| 9 | vs | UC Davis | +8.0 | 77% |
| 10 | vs | Illinois | -27.6 | 1% |
Season by season
Best finish: #109 in 2023–24. 17 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 21–14 | #121 of 365 · 3.28 | – |
| 2024–25 | 14–18 | #140 of 364 · 1.69 | – |
| 2023–24 | 23–14 | #109 of 362 · 5.23 | – |
| 2022–23 | 20–12 | #136 of 363 · 2.54 | – |
| 2021–22 | 23–9 | #131 of 358 · 3.08 | – |
| 2020–21 | 12–11 | #201 of 347 · -2.53 | – |
| 2019–20 | 12–15 | – | #207 of 353 · 15.33 |
| 2018–19 | 16–15 | – | #156 of 353 · 37.84 |
| 2017–18 | 20–14 | – | #172 of 351 · 38.96 |
| 2016–17 | 13–17 | – | #276 of 351 · -10.08 |
| 2015–16 | 15–17 | – | #249 of 351 · -2.96 |
| 2014–15 | 18–16 | – | #216 of 351 · 18.17 |
| 2013–14 | 13–17 | – | #211 of 351 · 21.00 |
| 2012–13 | 7–22 | – | #226 of 347 · 4.37 |
| 2011–12 | 12–14 | – | #176 of 345 · 32.73 |
| 2010–11 | 11–20 | – | #303 of 346 · -31.94 |
| 2009–10 | 17–14 | – | #153 of 335 · 43.04 |