The MRI
2026 · Week 2

North Dakota State

Mountain West · 3–0 · MRI Classic #35

Power-10.4#99 of 138
Résumé+0.39#35 · wins above average
Movement+10up from #109 last week
Best winJacksonville State (33–7)
Schedule faced-19.2 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-13.1 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 vs Fordham FCS W 38–0 +28.5 +9.5
1 vs Jacksonville State W 33–7 +4.5 +21.5
2 at Air Force W 38–32 -2.3 +8.3

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at Sacramento State +2.6 56%
5 vs Wyoming +12.6 78%
6 at UNLV -12.6 22%
7 vs Nevada +9.0 71%
8 at New Mexico -16.1 16%
9 vs UTEP +15.6 83%
11 at Hawaii -3.0 43%
12 vs Northern Illinois +14.0 80%