UTEP
Mountain West · 1–8 · 0–5 in conference · MRI Classic #135
Who to root for this week
Nothing this weekend moves the needle.
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 4). After 9 games, w is 69%, so the preseason prior is 31% of this rating. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -21.7 avg | × 69% | -15.1 |
| Opponents faced | -6.7 avg | × 69% | -4.6 |
| Preseason prior | -19.5 | × 31% | -6.0 |
| Power | -25.7 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at | Oklahoma | L 0–51 | -44.3 | -6.7 | -2.2 |
| 2 | vs | Texas Southern FCS | W 51–10 | +11.0 | +30.0 | -1.0 |
| 3 | at | Michigan | L 17–52 | -39.2 | +4.2 | -1.9 |
| 4 | vs | Oregon State | L 7–33 | -23.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| 5 | at | New Mexico | L 7–61 | -34.4 | -19.6 | -3.0 |
| 6 | vs | Nevada | L 13–30 | -9.5 | -7.5 | -2.9 |
| 7 | vs | San Jose State | L 11–24 | -10.0 | -3.0 | -2.5 |
| 9 | at | North Dakota State | L 7–31 | -25.6 | +1.6 | -2.3 |
| 10 | vs | Hawaii | L 14–17 | -11.0 | +8.0 | -1.4 |
| Preseason prior (31% of the rating) | -6.0 | |||||
| Power | -25.7 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | vs | Wyoming | -9.3 | 29% |
| 12 | at | Air Force | -24.7 | 7% |
| 13 | at | Northern Illinois | -3.6 | 41% |
Coaches
Mean added leaves out 1978–1980, the first seasons rated, which have no preseason prior to measure against.
| Coach | Years | Record | Mean added |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Michael | 1978–1981 | 4-33 | -10.9 |
| Bill Yung | 1982–1985 | 7-39 | -4.3 |
| Bob Stull | 1986–1988 | 21-15 | +4.1 |
| David Lee | 1989–1993 | 11-41-1 | -7.3 |
| Charlie Bailey | 1994–1999 | 19-48-1 | -3.8 |
| Gary Nord | 2000–2003 | 14-34 | -8.5 |
| Mike Price | 2004–2012 | 48-61 | -1.7 |
| Sean Kugler | 2013–2017 | 18-36 | -8.9 |
| Mike Price | 2017 | 0-7 | -12.3 |
| Dana Dimel | 2018–2023 | 20-49 | -5.6 |
| Scotty Walden | 2024–2026 | 6-27 | -6.0 |
Season by season
Best finish: #29 in 2004. 48 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2–10 | #128 of 136 · -19.04 | – |
| 2024 | 3–9 | #128 of 134 · -21.86 | – |
| 2023 | 3–9 | #119 of 133 · -15.81 | – |
| 2022 | 5–7 | #110 of 131 · -12.27 | – |
| 2021 | 7–6 | #105 of 130 · -10.93 | – |
| 2020 | 3–5 | #123 of 128 · -23.57 | – |
| 2019 | 1–11 | #128 of 130 · -31.99 | #128 of 130 · -74.89 |
| 2018 | 1–11 | #130 of 130 · -30.05 | #129 of 130 · -74.21 |
| 2017 | 0–12 | #130 of 130 · -29.71 | #129 of 130 · -75.25 |
| 2016 | 4–8 | #124 of 128 · -20.79 | #117 of 128 · -32.86 |
| 2015 | 5–7 | #118 of 128 · -20.45 | #116 of 128 · -38.99 |
| 2014 | 7–6 | #100 of 128 · -11.04 | #69 of 128 · 20.40 |
| 2013 | 2–10 | #117 of 125 · -24.18 | #114 of 126 · -47.70 |
| 2012 | 3–9 | #99 of 124 · -12.22 | #98 of 124 · -14.68 |
| 2011 | 5–7 | #98 of 120 · -10.81 | #96 of 120 · -11.63 |
| 2010 | 6–7 | #94 of 120 · -11.80 | #93 of 120 · -7.75 |
| 2009 | 4–8 | #90 of 120 · -9.49 | #86 of 120 · 0.66 |
| 2008 | 5–7 | #88 of 120 · -8.99 | #79 of 120 · 9.07 |
| 2007 | 4–8 | #89 of 119 · -10.58 | #98 of 120 · -10.94 |
| 2006 | 5–7 | #92 of 119 · -9.07 | #98 of 119 · -8.65 |
| 2005 | 8–4 | #72 of 119 · -3.26 | #67 of 119 · 23.33 |
| 2004 | 8–4 | #69 of 117 · -2.47 | #29 of 117 · 55.79 |
| 2003 | 2–11 | #116 of 117 · -26.79 | #116 of 117 · -68.96 |
| 2002 | 2–10 | #114 of 117 · -24.35 | – |
| 2001 | 2–9 | #104 of 117 · -17.04 | – |
| 2000 | 8–4 | #62 of 116 · 0.87 | – |
| 1999 | 5–7 | #88 of 114 · -9.20 | – |
| 1998 | 3–8 | #91 of 112 · -12.22 | – |
| 1997 | 4–7 | #102 of 112 · -17.84 | – |
| 1996 | 2–9 | #102 of 111 · -21.00 | – |
| 1995 | 2–10 | #103 of 108 · -22.27 | – |
| 1994 | 3–8 | #94 of 107 · -16.55 | – |
| 1993 | 1–11 | #99 of 106 · -18.97 | – |
| 1992 | 1–10 | #95 of 107 · -13.31 | – |
| 1991 | 4–8 | #76 of 107 · -7.00 | – |
| 1990 | 3–8 | #92 of 107 · -15.37 | – |
| 1989 | 2–10 | #88 of 106 · -13.18 | – |
| 1988 | 10–3 | #39 of 104 · 3.30 | – |
| 1987 | 7–4 | #57 of 104 · -2.26 | – |
| 1986 | 4–8 | #82 of 105 · -10.71 | – |
| 1985 | 1–10 | #98 of 106 · -17.96 | – |
| 1984 | 2–9 | #101 of 106 · -19.03 | – |
| 1983 | 2–10 | #100 of 105 · -19.47 | – |
| 1982 | 2–10 | #103 of 105 · -21.27 | – |
| 1981 | 1–10 | #133 of 136 · -26.97 | – |
| 1980 | 1–11 | #134 of 138 · -22.60 | – |
| 1979 | 2–9 | #132 of 138 · -18.61 | – |
| 1978 | 1–11 | #137 of 138 · -21.53 | – |