Sacramento State
MAC · 1–2 · MRI Classic #131
Power-17.2#122 of 138
Résumé-1.27#213 · wins above average
Movement-15down from #107 last week
Best winMississippi Valley State (52–0)
Worst lossEastern Michigan (17–28)
Schedule faced-18.3 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-14.8 avg opponent
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at | Eastern Michigan | L 17–28 | -1.7 | -9.3 |
| 1 | vs | Mississippi Valley State FCS | W 52–0 | +21.7 | +30.3 |
| 2 | at | Fresno State | L 3–49 | -21.0 | -25.0 |
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | North Dakota State | -2.6 | 44% |
| 4 | vs | UMass | +9.5 | 72% |
| 6 | at | Bowling Green | -0.4 | 49% |
| 7 | vs | Ohio | -6.8 | 34% |
| 8 | at | Ball State | -0.9 | 48% |
| 9 | vs | Kent State | +11.8 | 76% |
| 10 | vs | Toledo | -16.3 | 16% |
| 11 | at | Central Michigan | -1.2 | 47% |