The MRI
2026 · Week 2

San Jose State

Mountain West · 2–1 · MRI Classic #72

Power-12.2#111 of 138
Résumé+0.08#56 · wins above average
Movement-14down from #97 last week
Best winEastern Michigan (27–21)
Worst lossUSC (26–42)
Schedule faced-11.9 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-11.1 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 at USC L 26–42 -35.0 +19.0
1 at Eastern Michigan W 27–21 +3.3 +2.7
2 vs Cal Poly FCS W 30–20 +26.7 -16.7

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs Fresno State -7.5 32%
5 at Hawaii -4.8 38%
6 vs Wyoming +10.8 74%
7 at UTEP +5.3 63%
8 at Nevada -1.3 47%
9 vs New Mexico -9.4 28%
10 vs Northern Illinois +12.2 77%
11 at Air Force -4.2 40%

Season by season

Best finish: #20 in 2012. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 150 2003: #96 of 117 (3-8)2004: #113 of 117 (2-9)2005: #108 of 119 (3-8)2006: #50 of 119 (9-4)2007: #93 of 120 (5-7)2008: #81 of 120 (6-6)2009: #115 of 120 (2-10)2010: #109 of 120 (1-12)2011: #76 of 120 (5-7)2012: #20 of 124 (11-2)2013: #82 of 126 (6-6)2014: #113 of 128 (3-9)2015: #80 of 128 (6-7)2016: #109 of 128 (4-8)2017: #130 of 130 (2-11)2018: #116 of 130 (1-11)2019: #78 of 130 (5-7)2020: #36 of 128 (7-1)2021: #101 of 130 (5-7)2022: #81 of 131 (7-5)2023: #66 of 133 (7-6)2024: #88 of 134 (7-6)2025: #116 of 136 (3-9) 2003 2025

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025 116 of 136 3–9 -14.63 Power
2024 88 of 134 7–6 -4.28 Power
2023 66 of 133 7–6 0.53 Power
2022 81 of 131 7–5 -3.80 Power
2021 101 of 130 5–7 -8.11 Power
2020 36 of 128 7–1 6.11 Power
2019 78 of 130 5–7 9.69 MRI
2018 116 of 130 1–11 -37.84 MRI
2017 130 of 130 2–11 -105.02 MRI
2016 109 of 128 4–8 -24.63 MRI
2015 80 of 128 6–7 9.82 MRI
2014 113 of 128 3–9 -25.71 MRI
2013 82 of 126 6–6 7.73 MRI
2012 20 of 124 11–2 62.30 MRI
2011 76 of 120 5–7 9.25 MRI
2010 109 of 120 1–12 -35.82 MRI
2009 115 of 120 2–10 -52.79 MRI
2008 81 of 120 6–6 7.88 MRI
2007 93 of 120 5–7 -8.29 MRI
2006 50 of 119 9–4 34.81 MRI
2005 108 of 119 3–8 -28.14 MRI
2004 113 of 117 2–9 -42.16 MRI
2003 96 of 117 3–8 -13.71 MRI