Jackson State
SWAC · 1–3
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -13.5 avg | × 33% | -4.5 |
| Opponents faced | +7.2 avg | × 33% | +2.4 |
| Preseason prior | -12.9 | × 67% | -8.6 |
| Power | -10.7 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Texas Tech | L 42–76 | -38.7 | +4.7 | -0.6 |
| 2 | at | Tulane | W 87–85 | -8.2 | +10.2 | +0.5 |
| 3 | at | Mississippi State | L 57–98 | -28.0 | -13.0 | -1.8 |
| 3 | at | Southern Miss | L 80–84 | -8.4 | +4.4 | -0.2 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -8.6 | |||||
| Power | -10.7 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Winthrop | -9.6 | 19% |
| 4 | at | Baylor | -31.9 | 0% |
| 5 | at | Oklahoma State | -30.0 | 0% |
| 7 | at | Texas | -34.9 | 0% |
| 8 | at | Oklahoma | -24.6 | 1% |
| 8 | at | Saint Louis | -32.4 | 0% |
Season by season
Best finish: #174 in 2015–16. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 12–21 | #342 of 365 · -15.08 | – |
| 2024–25 | 16–18 | #264 of 364 · -6.86 | – |
| 2023–24 | 15–17 | #303 of 362 · -9.35 | – |
| 2022–23 | 14–19 | #318 of 363 · -10.20 | – |
| 2021–22 | 11–19 | #289 of 358 · -8.42 | – |
| 2020–21 | 12–6 | #241 of 347 · -5.09 | – |
| 2019–20 | 13–17 | – | #261 of 353 · -5.41 |
| 2018–19 | 11–19 | – | #285 of 353 · -21.04 |
| 2017–18 | 12–20 | – | #303 of 351 · -28.13 |
| 2016–17 | 14–18 | – | #260 of 351 · -4.13 |
| 2015–16 | 20–16 | – | #174 of 351 · 37.30 |
| 2014–15 | 11–21 | – | #264 of 351 · -2.29 |
| 2013–14 | 11–20 | – | #260 of 351 · -0.52 |
| 2012–13 | 11–18 | – | #305 of 347 · -37.03 |
| 2011–12 | 7–24 | – | #313 of 345 · -46.39 |
| 2010–11 | 17–15 | – | #192 of 346 · 27.49 |
| 2009–10 | 19–13 | – | #214 of 335 · 13.66 |
| 2008–09 | 18–15 | – | #198 of 330 · 22.14 |
| 2007–08 | 14–20 | – | #276 of 328 · -19.27 |
| 2006–07 | 21–14 | – | #191 of 326 · 21.52 |
| 2005–06 | 15–17 | – | #250 of 326 · -5.47 |
| 2004–05 | 15–17 | – | #248 of 326 · -3.63 |