The MRI
2026 · Week 2

USF

American · 2–0 · MRI Classic #51

Power+8.8#40 of 138
Résumé+0.78#7 · wins above average
Movement+1up from #41 last week
Best winArmy (28–24)
Schedule faced-4.8 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-11.7 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 vs FIU W 19–9 +23.8 -13.8
2 at Army W 28–24 +3.6 +0.4

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs Delaware State FCS +47.8 100%
4 at Bowling Green +25.6 94%
5 vs Temple +24.2 93%
6 at UTSA +1.3 53%
7 vs Kent State +37.8 99%
9 vs UAB +31.8 97%
10 at East Carolina +6.2 65%
11 vs Memphis +8.2 69%

Season by season

Best finish: #14 in 2007. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 150 2003: #65 of 117 (7-4)2004: #88 of 117 (4-7)2005: #38 of 119 (6-6)2006: #34 of 119 (9-4)2007: #14 of 120 (9-4)2008: #39 of 120 (8-5)2009: #50 of 120 (8-5)2010: #56 of 120 (8-5)2011: #51 of 120 (5-7)2012: #100 of 124 (3-9)2013: #111 of 126 (2-10)2014: #105 of 128 (4-8)2015: #43 of 128 (8-5)2016: #28 of 128 (11-2)2017: #16 of 130 (9-2)2018: #90 of 130 (7-6)2019: #95 of 130 (4-8)2020: #117 of 128 (1-8)2021: #111 of 130 (2-10)2022: #114 of 131 (1-11)2023: #102 of 133 (7-6)2024: #93 of 134 (7-6)2025: #32 of 136 (9-4) 2003 2025

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025 32 of 136 9–4 10.22 Power
2024 93 of 134 7–6 -5.62 Power
2023 102 of 133 7–6 -8.92 Power
2022 114 of 131 1–11 -14.30 Power
2021 111 of 130 2–10 -12.98 Power
2020 117 of 128 1–8 -18.24 Power
2019 95 of 130 4–8 -2.45 MRI
2018 90 of 130 7–6 4.70 MRI
2017 16 of 130 9–2 68.17 MRI
2016 28 of 128 11–2 54.20 MRI
2015 43 of 128 8–5 45.80 MRI
2014 105 of 128 4–8 -17.13 MRI
2013 111 of 126 2–10 -36.48 MRI
2012 100 of 124 3–9 -16.83 MRI
2011 51 of 120 5–7 30.67 MRI
2010 56 of 120 8–5 25.98 MRI
2009 50 of 120 8–5 29.55 MRI
2008 39 of 120 8–5 41.39 MRI
2007 14 of 120 9–4 73.12 MRI
2006 34 of 119 9–4 49.14 MRI
2005 38 of 119 6–6 44.45 MRI
2004 88 of 117 4–7 -1.60 MRI
2003 65 of 117 7–4 26.48 MRI