Bowling Green
MAC · 3–7 · 3–3 in conference · MRI Classic #128
Who to root for this week
Nothing this weekend moves the needle.
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 4). After 10 games, w is 71%, so the preseason prior is 29% of this rating. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -9.4 avg | × 71% | -6.7 |
| Opponents faced | -10.4 avg | × 71% | -7.4 |
| Preseason prior | -17.5 | × 29% | -5.0 |
| Power | -19.1 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs | Tarleton State FCS | L 13–20 | +17.6 | -24.6 | -2.8 |
| 2 | at | Nebraska | L 7–56 | -34.6 | -14.4 | -2.2 |
| 3 | at | Iowa State | L 7–55 | -23.5 | -24.5 | -2.9 |
| 4 | vs | USF | L 6–14 | -17.5 | +9.5 | -0.9 |
| 5 | at | Miami (OH) | W 24–20 | -12.6 | +16.6 | -0.1 |
| 6 | vs | Sacramento State | W 38–10 | +7.3 | +20.7 | +0.5 |
| 7 | vs | Ball State | L 31–32 | +6.7 | -7.7 | -1.9 |
| 8 | at | Buffalo | L 24–31 | -7.5 | +0.5 | -1.5 |
| 9 | at | Western Michigan | L 10–23 | -21.6 | +8.6 | -1.1 |
| 11 | vs | Kent State | W 33–28 | +4.7 | +0.3 | -1.2 |
| Preseason prior (29% of the rating) | -5.0 | |||||
| Power | -19.1 | |||||
Remaining schedule
Coaches
Mean added leaves out 1978–1980, the first seasons rated, which have no preseason prior to measure against.
| Coach | Years | Record | Mean added |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Stolz | 1978–1985 | 51-38-1 | +0.6 |
| Moe Ankney | 1986–1990 | 20-31-3 | -7.5 |
| Gary Blackney | 1991–2000 | 60-50-2 | -2.3 |
| Urban Meyer | 2001–2002 | 17-6 | +6.1 |
| Gregg Brandon | 2003–2008 | 44-30 | -1.4 |
| Dave Clawson | 2009–2013 | 32-32 | -0.3 |
| Dino Babers | 2014–2015 | 18-9 | -0.4 |
| Mike Jinks | 2016–2018 | 7-24 | -11.6 |
| Scot Loeffler | 2019–2024 | 27-41 | -4.8 |
| Eddie George | 2025–2026 | 7-15 | -9.1 |
Season by season
Best finish: #21 in 2015. 48 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4–8 | #117 of 136 · -14.87 | – |
| 2024 | 7–6 | #80 of 134 · -2.94 | – |
| 2023 | 7–6 | #96 of 133 · -6.96 | – |
| 2022 | 6–7 | #121 of 131 · -16.06 | – |
| 2021 | 4–8 | #124 of 130 · -21.31 | – |
| 2020 | 0–5 | #127 of 128 · -34.16 | – |
| 2019 | 3–9 | #126 of 130 · -26.07 | #127 of 130 · -73.61 |
| 2018 | 3–9 | #125 of 130 · -21.04 | #122 of 130 · -49.56 |
| 2017 | 2–10 | #116 of 130 · -17.52 | #115 of 130 · -32.14 |
| 2016 | 4–8 | #99 of 128 · -11.55 | #110 of 128 · -25.41 |
| 2015 | 10–4 | #45 of 128 · 6.41 | #21 of 128 · 66.54 |
| 2014 | 8–6 | #88 of 128 · -7.44 | #87 of 128 · 2.26 |
| 2013 | 10–4 | #44 of 125 · 6.90 | #23 of 126 · 63.34 |
| 2012 | 8–5 | #72 of 124 · -4.19 | #55 of 124 · 33.41 |
| 2011 | 5–7 | #94 of 120 · -9.97 | #90 of 120 · -3.55 |
| 2010 | 2–10 | #104 of 120 · -16.52 | #111 of 120 · -38.63 |
| 2009 | 7–6 | #78 of 120 · -4.39 | #48 of 120 · 30.90 |
| 2008 | 6–6 | #73 of 120 · -3.78 | #56 of 120 · 27.81 |
| 2007 | 8–5 | #86 of 119 · -9.40 | #72 of 120 · 16.66 |
| 2006 | 4–8 | #103 of 119 · -13.07 | #84 of 119 · 1.90 |
| 2005 | 6–5 | #60 of 119 · 0.56 | #56 of 119 · 32.24 |
| 2004 | 9–3 | #24 of 117 · 10.46 | #21 of 117 · 70.14 |
| 2003 | 11–3 | #42 of 117 · 5.14 | #25 of 117 · 64.36 |
| 2002 | 9–3 | #60 of 117 · 1.82 | – |
| 2001 | 8–3 | #64 of 117 · 0.28 | – |
| 2000 | 2–9 | #98 of 116 · -16.11 | – |
| 1999 | 5–6 | #96 of 114 · -11.36 | – |
| 1998 | 5–6 | #80 of 112 · -7.66 | – |
| 1997 | 3–8 | #96 of 112 · -15.82 | – |
| 1996 | 4–7 | #95 of 111 · -14.66 | – |
| 1995 | 5–6 | #84 of 108 · -9.95 | – |
| 1994 | 9–2 | #43 of 107 · 3.68 | – |
| 1993 | 6–5 | #54 of 106 · -1.29 | – |
| 1992 | 10–2 | #54 of 107 · 0.07 | – |
| 1991 | 11–1 | #64 of 107 · -3.41 | – |
| 1990 | 3–7 | #93 of 107 · -15.81 | – |
| 1989 | 5–6 | #97 of 106 · -21.17 | – |
| 1988 | 2–9 | #98 of 104 · -22.66 | – |
| 1987 | 5–6 | #82 of 104 · -11.33 | – |
| 1986 | 5–6 | #84 of 105 · -11.22 | – |
| 1985 | 11–1 | #44 of 106 · 2.72 | – |
| 1984 | 8–3 | #57 of 106 · 0.26 | – |
| 1983 | 8–3 | #65 of 105 · -4.37 | – |
| 1982 | 7–5 | #65 of 105 · -4.08 | – |
| 1981 | 5–6 | #77 of 136 · -2.70 | – |
| 1980 | 4–7 | #92 of 138 · -5.07 | – |
| 1979 | 4–7 | #99 of 138 · -6.44 | – |
| 1978 | 4–7 | #80 of 138 · -1.94 | – |