The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Kent State

MAC · 3–7 · 2–4 in conference · MRI Classic #133

Power-20.8#130 of 138
Résumé-3.42#222 · wins above average
Playoff chance<0.1%out of the picture
Trendrating by week

Who to root for this week

Nothing this weekend moves the needle.

Nothing this weekend moves the needle.

Best winBall State (26–13)
Worst lossSacramento State (10–31)
Schedule faced-9.3 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-13.2 avg opponent
Roster talent#123 of 127 · worth -8.5, rated -20.8: short of it
Returning production64% of last year's · #35 of 128
Home field+2.5 pts · 105th of 131

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 4). After 10 games, w is 71%, so the preseason prior is 29% of this rating. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-13.2 avg× 71%-9.4
Opponents faced-9.3 avg× 71%-6.6
Preseason prior-16.6× 29%-4.8
Power-20.8

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
1 at South Carolina L 0–57 -40.7 -16.3 -2.0
2 vs Wofford FCS W 36–15 +15.9 +5.1 -1.4
3 at Ohio State L 3–59 -50.6 -5.4 -1.3
4 vs Ball State W 26–13 +5.0 +8.0 -0.6
5 vs Ohio L 10–13 -11.0 +8.0 -1.0
6 at Western Michigan L 7–38 -23.3 -7.7 -2.4
7 at USF L 2–29 -25.2 -1.8 -2.0
8 vs Akron W 35–20 +5.0 +10.0 -0.4
9 at Sacramento State L 10–31 -0.4 -20.6 -3.3
11 at Bowling Green L 28–33 -4.7 -0.3 -1.6
Preseason prior (29% of the rating)-4.8
Power-20.8

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
12 vs Miami (OH) -8.3 31%
13 at Eastern Michigan -7.0 34%

Coaches

Mean added leaves out 1978–1980, the first seasons rated, which have no preseason prior to measure against.

CoachYearsRecordMean added
Ron Blackledge1978–19808-25–
Ed Chlebek1981–19824-18-7.6
Dick Scesniak1983–19858-25-3.2
Glen Mason1986–198712-10-3.0
Dick Crum1988–19907-26-10.2
Pete Cordelli1991–19933-30-8.1
Jim Corrigall1994–19978-35-1-8.3
Dean Pees1998–200317-51-5.8
Doug Martin2004–201029-53-4.0
Darrell Hazell2011–201216-10+1.6
Paul Haynes2013–201714-45-8.5
Sean Lewis2018–202224-31-1.4
Kenni Burns2023–20241-23-14.6
Mark Carney2025–20268-14-1.9

Season by season

Best finish: #49 in 2012. 48 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 150 2003 (MRI Classic): #91 of 117 (5-7)2004 (MRI Classic): #59 of 117 (5-6)2005 (MRI Classic): #116 of 119 (1-10)2006 (MRI Classic): #76 of 119 (6-6)2007 (MRI Classic): #101 of 120 (3-9)2008 (MRI Classic): #100 of 120 (4-8)2009 (MRI Classic): #102 of 120 (5-7)2010 (MRI Classic): #85 of 120 (5-7)2011 (MRI Classic): #80 of 120 (5-7)2012 (MRI Classic): #49 of 124 (11-3)2013 (MRI Classic): #94 of 126 (4-8)2014 (MRI Classic): #115 of 128 (2-9)2015 (MRI Classic): #108 of 128 (3-9)2016 (MRI Classic): #97 of 128 (3-9)2017 (MRI Classic): #125 of 130 (2-10)2018 (MRI Classic): #120 of 130 (2-10)2019 (MRI Classic): #85 of 130 (7-6)1978 (MRI 2.0): #119 of 138 (4-7)1979 (MRI 2.0): #133 of 138 (1-10)1980 (MRI 2.0): #129 of 138 (3-8)1981 (MRI 2.0): #120 of 136 (4-7)1982 (MRI 2.0): #104 of 105 (0-11)1983 (MRI 2.0): #102 of 105 (1-10)1984 (MRI 2.0): #97 of 106 (4-7)1985 (MRI 2.0): #96 of 106 (3-8)1986 (MRI 2.0): #101 of 105 (5-6)1987 (MRI 2.0): #81 of 104 (7-4)1988 (MRI 2.0): #85 of 104 (5-6)1989 (MRI 2.0): #105 of 106 (0-11)1990 (MRI 2.0): #105 of 107 (2-9)1991 (MRI 2.0): #105 of 107 (1-10)1992 (MRI 2.0): #105 of 107 (2-9)1993 (MRI 2.0): #105 of 106 (0-11)1994 (MRI 2.0): #105 of 107 (2-9)1995 (MRI 2.0): #107 of 108 (1-10)1996 (MRI 2.0): #110 of 111 (2-9)1997 (MRI 2.0): #108 of 112 (3-8)1998 (MRI 2.0): #112 of 112 (0-11)1999 (MRI 2.0): #111 of 114 (2-9)2000 (MRI 2.0): #113 of 116 (1-10)2001 (MRI 2.0): #97 of 117 (6-5)2002 (MRI 2.0): #111 of 117 (3-9)2003 (MRI 2.0): #103 of 117 (5-7)2004 (MRI 2.0): #80 of 117 (5-6)2005 (MRI 2.0): #108 of 119 (1-10)2006 (MRI 2.0): #102 of 119 (6-6)2007 (MRI 2.0): #106 of 119 (3-9)2008 (MRI 2.0): #107 of 120 (4-8)2009 (MRI 2.0): #102 of 120 (5-7)2010 (MRI 2.0): #96 of 120 (5-7)2011 (MRI 2.0): #99 of 120 (5-7)2012 (MRI 2.0): #65 of 124 (11-3)2013 (MRI 2.0): #96 of 125 (4-8)2014 (MRI 2.0): #115 of 128 (2-9)2015 (MRI 2.0): #112 of 128 (3-9)2016 (MRI 2.0): #113 of 128 (3-9)2017 (MRI 2.0): #124 of 130 (2-10)2018 (MRI 2.0): #122 of 130 (2-10)2019 (MRI 2.0): #103 of 130 (7-6)2020 (MRI 2.0): #94 of 128 (3-1)2021 (MRI 2.0): #104 of 130 (7-7)2022 (MRI 2.0): #100 of 131 (5-7)2023 (MRI 2.0): #133 of 133 (1-11)2024 (MRI 2.0): #134 of 134 (0-12)2025 (MRI 2.0): #132 of 136 (5-7) MRI 2.0Classic 1978 2025

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025 5–7 #132 of 136 · -21.47 –
2024 0–12 #134 of 134 · -30.43 –
2023 1–11 #133 of 133 · -26.60 –
2022 5–7 #100 of 131 · -8.58 –
2021 7–7 #104 of 130 · -10.84 –
2020 3–1 #94 of 128 · -6.38 –
2019 7–6 #103 of 130 · -10.07 #85 of 130 · 3.34
2018 2–10 #122 of 130 · -20.46 #120 of 130 · -45.55
2017 2–10 #124 of 130 · -24.11 #125 of 130 · -62.10
2016 3–9 #113 of 128 · -15.16 #97 of 128 · -12.03
2015 3–9 #112 of 128 · -19.01 #108 of 128 · -24.77
2014 2–9 #115 of 128 · -16.80 #115 of 128 · -26.71
2013 4–8 #96 of 125 · -10.23 #94 of 126 · -9.35
2012 11–3 #65 of 124 · -0.86 #49 of 124 · 36.22
2011 5–7 #99 of 120 · -12.80 #80 of 120 · 7.00
2010 5–7 #96 of 120 · -12.27 #85 of 120 · -1.21
2009 5–7 #102 of 120 · -13.70 #102 of 120 · -11.38
2008 4–8 #107 of 120 · -15.73 #100 of 120 · -19.14
2007 3–9 #106 of 119 · -15.43 #101 of 120 · -13.16
2006 6–6 #102 of 119 · -12.62 #76 of 119 · 7.31
2005 1–10 #108 of 119 · -18.85 #116 of 119 · -45.97
2004 5–6 #80 of 117 · -7.32 #59 of 117 · 27.28
2003 5–7 #103 of 117 · -14.78 #91 of 117 · -6.09
2002 3–9 #111 of 117 · -22.48 –
2001 6–5 #97 of 117 · -13.47 –
2000 1–10 #113 of 116 · -29.22 –
1999 2–9 #111 of 114 · -24.22 –
1998 0–11 #112 of 112 · -32.51 –
1997 3–8 #108 of 112 · -25.86 –
1996 2–9 #110 of 111 · -30.89 –
1995 1–10 #107 of 108 · -33.01 –
1994 2–9 #105 of 107 · -26.90 –
1993 0–11 #105 of 106 · -28.72 –
1992 2–9 #105 of 107 · -23.68 –
1991 1–10 #105 of 107 · -23.46 –
1990 2–9 #105 of 107 · -26.92 –
1989 0–11 #105 of 106 · -27.30 –
1988 5–6 #85 of 104 · -12.32 –
1987 7–4 #81 of 104 · -11.19 –
1986 5–6 #101 of 105 · -18.83 –
1985 3–8 #96 of 106 · -15.69 –
1984 4–7 #97 of 106 · -15.62 –
1983 1–10 #102 of 105 · -20.39 –
1982 0–11 #104 of 105 · -23.51 –
1981 4–7 #120 of 136 · -11.72 –
1980 3–8 #129 of 138 · -17.61 –
1979 1–10 #133 of 138 · -19.22 –
1978 4–7 #119 of 138 · -11.86 –