The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Temple

American · 2–7 · 1–4 in conference · MRI Classic #117

Power-11.1#106 of 138
Résumé-3.52#223 · wins above average
Playoff chance<0.1%out of the picture
Trendrating by week

Who to root for this week

Nothing this weekend moves the needle.

Nothing this weekend moves the needle.

Best winUSF (17–13)
Worst lossCharlotte (31–38)
Schedule faced-7.4 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-7.5 avg opponent
Roster talent#78 of 127 · worth -2.8, rated -11.1: short of it
Returning production37% of last year's · #71 of 128
Home field+3.0 pts · 57th of 131

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 4). After 9 games, w is 69%, so the preseason prior is 31% of this rating. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-5.1 avg× 69%-3.5
Opponents faced-7.4 avg× 69%-5.1
Preseason prior-8.1× 31%-2.5
Power-11.1

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
1 vs Rhode Island FCS W 38–14 +25.6 -1.6 -1.0
2 vs Penn State L 9–27 -19.7 +1.7 -1.1
3 at Toledo L 48–49 -12.1 +11.1 +0.0
4 vs Army L 17–21 -8.4 +4.4 -0.6
5 at USF W 17–13 -15.6 +19.6 +0.7
6 vs UConn L 20–34 -2.2 -11.8 -2.1
7 vs Charlotte L 31–38 +15.0 -22.0 -2.7
9 at East Carolina L 9–17 -8.6 +0.6 -1.0
10 at Navy L 35–42 -10.2 +3.2 -0.8
Preseason prior (31% of the rating)-2.5
Power-11.1

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
11 vs UAB +2.4 56%
12 vs Rice +7.8 68%
13 at Memphis -18.1 14%

Coaches

Mean added leaves out 1978–1980, the first seasons rated, which have no preseason prior to measure against.

CoachYearsRecordMean added
Wayne Hardin1978–198230-24-1+2.6
Bruce Arians1983–198827-39-1.4
Jerry Berndt1989–199211-33-5.4
Ron Dickerson1993–19978-47-4.7
Bobby Wallace1998–200519-71-4.9
Al Golden2006–201027-34-1.0
Steve Addazio2011–201213-11-1.5
Matt Rhule2013–201628-23+2.5
Geoff Collins2017–201815-10-2.1
Rod Carey2019–202112-20-10.0
Stan Drayton2022–20249-25-6.5
K.C. Keeler2025–20267-14+1.9

Season by season

Best finish: #13 in 1979. 48 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 150 2003 (MRI Classic): #101 of 117 (1-11)2004 (MRI Classic): #100 of 117 (2-9)2005 (MRI Classic): #118 of 119 (0-11)2006 (MRI Classic): #119 of 119 (1-11)2007 (MRI Classic): #104 of 120 (4-8)2008 (MRI Classic): #74 of 120 (5-7)2009 (MRI Classic): #44 of 120 (9-4)2010 (MRI Classic): #49 of 120 (8-4)2011 (MRI Classic): #24 of 120 (9-4)2012 (MRI Classic): #103 of 124 (4-7)2013 (MRI Classic): #96 of 126 (2-10)2014 (MRI Classic): #74 of 128 (6-6)2015 (MRI Classic): #33 of 128 (10-4)2016 (MRI Classic): #17 of 128 (10-4)2017 (MRI Classic): #63 of 130 (7-6)2018 (MRI Classic): #48 of 130 (8-5)2019 (MRI Classic): #74 of 130 (8-5)1978 (MRI 2.0): #49 of 138 (7-4)1979 (MRI 2.0): #13 of 138 (10-2)1980 (MRI 2.0): #83 of 138 (4-7)1981 (MRI 2.0): #43 of 136 (5-5)1982 (MRI 2.0): #41 of 105 (4-7)1983 (MRI 2.0): #56 of 105 (4-7)1984 (MRI 2.0): #53 of 106 (6-5)1985 (MRI 2.0): #51 of 106 (4-7)1986 (MRI 2.0): #33 of 105 (6-5)1987 (MRI 2.0): #72 of 104 (3-8)1988 (MRI 2.0): #74 of 104 (4-7)1989 (MRI 2.0): #92 of 106 (1-10)1990 (MRI 2.0): #64 of 107 (7-4)1991 (MRI 2.0): #85 of 107 (2-9)1992 (MRI 2.0): #99 of 107 (1-10)1993 (MRI 2.0): #106 of 106 (1-10)1994 (MRI 2.0): #96 of 107 (2-9)1995 (MRI 2.0): #88 of 108 (1-10)1996 (MRI 2.0): #89 of 111 (1-10)1997 (MRI 2.0): #92 of 112 (3-8)1998 (MRI 2.0): #99 of 112 (2-9)1999 (MRI 2.0): #97 of 114 (2-9)2000 (MRI 2.0): #84 of 116 (4-7)2001 (MRI 2.0): #84 of 117 (4-7)2002 (MRI 2.0): #81 of 117 (4-8)2003 (MRI 2.0): #95 of 117 (1-11)2004 (MRI 2.0): #99 of 117 (2-9)2005 (MRI 2.0): #117 of 119 (0-11)2006 (MRI 2.0): #119 of 119 (1-11)2007 (MRI 2.0): #116 of 119 (4-8)2008 (MRI 2.0): #87 of 120 (5-7)2009 (MRI 2.0): #75 of 120 (9-4)2010 (MRI 2.0): #72 of 120 (8-4)2011 (MRI 2.0): #44 of 120 (9-4)2012 (MRI 2.0): #83 of 124 (4-7)2013 (MRI 2.0): #94 of 125 (2-10)2014 (MRI 2.0): #72 of 128 (6-6)2015 (MRI 2.0): #50 of 128 (10-4)2016 (MRI 2.0): #36 of 128 (10-4)2017 (MRI 2.0): #73 of 130 (7-6)2018 (MRI 2.0): #57 of 130 (8-5)2019 (MRI 2.0): #70 of 130 (8-5)2020 (MRI 2.0): #109 of 128 (1-6)2021 (MRI 2.0): #125 of 130 (3-9)2022 (MRI 2.0): #109 of 131 (3-9)2023 (MRI 2.0): #125 of 133 (3-9)2024 (MRI 2.0): #126 of 134 (3-9)2025 (MRI 2.0): #98 of 136 (5-7) MRI 2.0Classic 1978 2025

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025 5–7 #98 of 136 · -9.98 –
2024 3–9 #126 of 134 · -19.02 –
2023 3–9 #125 of 133 · -17.29 –
2022 3–9 #109 of 131 · -11.99 –
2021 3–9 #125 of 130 · -22.17 –
2020 1–6 #109 of 128 · -13.48 –
2019 8–5 #70 of 130 · -1.26 #74 of 130 · 11.92
2018 8–5 #57 of 130 · 2.27 #48 of 130 · 35.21
2017 7–6 #73 of 130 · -1.38 #63 of 130 · 26.79
2016 10–4 #36 of 128 · 8.41 #17 of 128 · 65.82
2015 10–4 #50 of 128 · 5.04 #33 of 128 · 53.65
2014 6–6 #72 of 128 · -2.38 #74 of 128 · 15.05
2013 2–10 #94 of 125 · -9.97 #96 of 126 · -12.39
2012 4–7 #83 of 124 · -6.25 #103 of 124 · -20.36
2011 9–4 #44 of 120 · 4.50 #24 of 120 · 58.74
2010 8–4 #72 of 120 · -3.47 #49 of 120 · 29.67
2009 9–4 #75 of 120 · -3.95 #44 of 120 · 36.21
2008 5–7 #87 of 120 · -8.72 #74 of 120 · 12.18
2007 4–8 #116 of 119 · -20.90 #104 of 120 · -19.41
2006 1–11 #119 of 119 · -25.83 #119 of 119 · -78.16
2005 0–11 #117 of 119 · -24.08 #118 of 119 · -64.45
2004 2–9 #99 of 117 · -13.51 #100 of 117 · -16.20
2003 1–11 #95 of 117 · -11.64 #101 of 117 · -24.64
2002 4–8 #81 of 117 · -7.47 –
2001 4–7 #84 of 117 · -8.03 –
2000 4–7 #84 of 116 · -6.53 –
1999 2–9 #97 of 114 · -12.64 –
1998 2–9 #99 of 112 · -16.52 –
1997 3–8 #92 of 112 · -13.88 –
1996 1–10 #89 of 111 · -12.33 –
1995 1–10 #88 of 108 · -11.82 –
1994 2–9 #96 of 107 · -17.91 –
1993 1–10 #106 of 106 · -29.26 –
1992 1–10 #99 of 107 · -17.45 –
1991 2–9 #85 of 107 · -11.06 –
1990 7–4 #64 of 107 · -2.88 –
1989 1–10 #92 of 106 · -15.41 –
1988 4–7 #74 of 104 · -7.41 –
1987 3–8 #72 of 104 · -6.90 –
1986 6–5 #33 of 105 · 5.36 –
1985 4–7 #51 of 106 · 1.21 –
1984 6–5 #53 of 106 · 0.98 –
1983 4–7 #56 of 105 · -1.97 –
1982 4–7 #41 of 105 · 2.14 –
1981 5–5 #43 of 136 · 5.26 –
1980 4–7 #83 of 138 · -2.89 –
1979 10–2 #13 of 138 · 16.09 –
1978 7–4 #49 of 138 · 4.55 –