Louisiana-Monroe
Sun Belt · 2–8 · 2–4 in conference · MRI Classic #134
Who to root for this week
Nothing this weekend moves the needle.
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 4). After 10 games, w is 71%, so the preseason prior is 29% of this rating. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -17.3 avg | × 71% | -12.4 |
| Opponents faced | -9.5 avg | × 71% | -6.8 |
| Preseason prior | -16.6 | × 29% | -4.7 |
| Power | -23.9 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at | Mississippi State | L 13–62 | -35.3 | -13.7 | -2.4 |
| 2 | at | UAB | L 20–26 | -16.3 | +10.3 | -1.1 |
| 3 | vs | SE Louisiana FCS | L 35–38 | +12.8 | -15.8 | -3.1 |
| 4 | vs | Florida Atlantic | L 17–45 | -14.9 | -13.1 | -3.0 |
| 5 | at | South Alabama | L 35–52 | -18.2 | +1.2 | -2.0 |
| 7 | vs | Louisiana Tech | L 0–24 | -21.2 | -2.8 | -2.3 |
| 8 | at | Troy | W 21–14 | -14.6 | +21.6 | +0.0 |
| 9 | vs | Southern Miss | L 21–35 | -5.3 | -8.7 | -2.6 |
| 10 | at | Arkansas State | W 19–17 | -15.9 | +17.9 | -0.4 |
| 11 | vs | Louisiana | L 21–42 | -18.2 | -2.8 | -2.3 |
| Preseason prior (29% of the rating) | -4.7 | |||||
| Power | -23.9 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | at | Appalachian State | -15.3 | 18% |
| 13 | vs | Marshall | -8.1 | 31% |
Coaches
Mean added leaves out 1978–1980, the first seasons rated, which have no preseason prior to measure against.
| Coach | Years | Record | Mean added |
|---|---|---|---|
| John David Crow | 1978–1980 | 16-16-1 | – |
| Pat Collins | 1981 | 5-6 | +0.0 |
| Ed Zaunbrecher | 1994–1998 | 20-36 | -5.2 |
| Bobby Keasler | 1999–2002 | 8-28 | -9.2 |
| Charlie Weatherbie | 2003–2009 | 31-51 | -3.8 |
| Todd Berry | 2010–2015 | 29-45 | -5.1 |
| Matt Viator | 2016–2020 | 19-39 | -6.9 |
| Terry Bowden | 2021–2023 | 10-26 | -3.7 |
| Bryant Vincent | 2024–2026 | 10-24 | -6.0 |
Season by season
Best finish: #58 in 2012. 36 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3–9 | #130 of 136 · -19.59 | – |
| 2024 | 5–7 | #115 of 134 · -13.28 | – |
| 2023 | 2–10 | #128 of 133 · -18.94 | – |
| 2022 | 4–8 | #119 of 131 · -15.21 | – |
| 2021 | 4–8 | #122 of 130 · -18.91 | – |
| 2020 | 0–10 | #124 of 128 · -27.17 | – |
| 2019 | 5–7 | #110 of 130 · -11.80 | #93 of 130 · -1.80 |
| 2018 | 6–6 | #105 of 130 · -13.72 | #101 of 130 · -16.21 |
| 2017 | 4–8 | #114 of 130 · -15.58 | #108 of 130 · -18.94 |
| 2016 | 4–8 | #125 of 128 · -20.92 | #118 of 128 · -35.21 |
| 2015 | 2–11 | #122 of 128 · -21.74 | #122 of 128 · -56.52 |
| 2014 | 4–8 | #104 of 128 · -12.57 | #97 of 128 · -7.94 |
| 2013 | 6–6 | #95 of 125 · -10.15 | #92 of 126 · -7.48 |
| 2012 | 8–5 | #71 of 124 · -3.57 | #58 of 124 · 28.15 |
| 2011 | 4–8 | #95 of 120 · -10.18 | #75 of 120 · 9.45 |
| 2010 | 5–7 | #103 of 120 · -16.15 | #88 of 120 · -3.57 |
| 2009 | 6–6 | #96 of 120 · -11.03 | #79 of 120 · 6.82 |
| 2008 | 4–8 | #106 of 120 · -14.84 | #105 of 120 · -23.00 |
| 2007 | 6–6 | #91 of 119 · -10.86 | #85 of 120 · 6.16 |
| 2006 | 4–8 | #99 of 119 · -11.30 | #75 of 119 · 8.53 |
| 2005 | 5–6 | #111 of 119 · -20.11 | #98 of 119 · -13.71 |
| 2004 | 5–6 | #111 of 117 · -20.49 | #92 of 117 · -4.33 |
| 2003 | 1–11 | #113 of 117 · -25.10 | #114 of 117 · -51.43 |
| 2002 | 3–9 | #113 of 117 · -24.13 | – |
| 2001 | 2–9 | #117 of 117 · -29.57 | – |
| 2000 | 1–10 | #116 of 116 · -33.60 | – |
| 1999 | 5–6 | #106 of 114 · -18.59 | – |
| 1998 | 5–6 | #102 of 112 · -17.81 | – |
| 1997 | 5–7 | #101 of 112 · -17.76 | – |
| 1996 | 5–6 | #106 of 111 · -23.56 | – |
| 1995 | 2–9 | #102 of 108 · -22.17 | – |
| 1994 | 3–8 | #98 of 107 · -18.71 | – |
| 1981 | 5–6 | #89 of 136 · -4.69 | – |
| 1980 | 7–4 | #98 of 138 · -6.41 | – |
| 1979 | 3–8 | #113 of 138 · -8.83 | – |
| 1978 | 6–5 | #71 of 138 · 0.47 | – |