Toledo
MAC · 1–1 · MRI Classic #74
Power+3.4#54 of 138
Résumé-0.32#141 · wins above average
Movement+1up from #55 last week
Best winCentral Connecticut (63–10)
Worst lossMichigan State (20–30)
Schedule faced-16.5 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-13.5 avg opponent
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at | Michigan State | L 20–30 | -2.7 | -7.3 |
| 2 | vs | Central Connecticut FCS | W 63–10 | +42.3 | +10.7 |
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Temple | +18.7 | 87% |
| 4 | vs | San Diego State | +9.1 | 71% |
| 5 | at | Ball State | +19.7 | 88% |
| 6 | vs | Buffalo | +25.5 | 94% |
| 7 | at | Eastern Michigan | +18.9 | 87% |
| 8 | vs | Western Michigan | +5.1 | 62% |
| 10 | at | Sacramento State | +16.3 | 84% |
| 11 | vs | UMass | +30.0 | 96% |
Season by season
Best finish: #16 in 2015. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rank | Rec | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49 of 136 | 8–5 | 5.74 | Power |
| 2024 | 77 of 134 | 8–5 | -2.81 | Power |
| 2023 | 57 of 133 | 11–3 | 1.74 | Power |
| 2022 | 73 of 131 | 9–5 | 0.02 | Power |
| 2021 | 61 of 130 | 7–6 | 2.74 | Power |
| 2020 | 68 of 128 | 4–2 | 0.38 | Power |
| 2019 | 111 of 130 | 6–6 | -24.12 | MRI |
| 2018 | 66 of 130 | 7–6 | 22.97 | MRI |
| 2017 | 22 of 130 | 11–2 | 63.73 | MRI |
| 2016 | 29 of 128 | 9–4 | 53.33 | MRI |
| 2015 | 16 of 128 | 10–2 | 71.36 | MRI |
| 2014 | 47 of 128 | 9–4 | 35.33 | MRI |
| 2013 | 62 of 126 | 7–5 | 27.78 | MRI |
| 2012 | 57 of 124 | 9–4 | 29.96 | MRI |
| 2011 | 22 of 120 | 9–4 | 59.85 | MRI |
| 2010 | 51 of 120 | 8–5 | 27.70 | MRI |
| 2009 | 100 of 120 | 5–7 | -8.21 | MRI |
| 2008 | 101 of 120 | 3–9 | -19.93 | MRI |
| 2007 | 92 of 120 | 5–7 | -6.34 | MRI |
| 2006 | 91 of 119 | 5–7 | -2.02 | MRI |
| 2005 | 22 of 119 | 9–3 | 60.39 | MRI |
| 2004 | 60 of 117 | 9–4 | 26.54 | MRI |
| 2003 | 52 of 117 | 8–4 | 39.02 | MRI |