Eastern Michigan
MAC · 4–6 · 3–3 in conference · MRI Classic #119
Who to root for this week
Nothing this weekend moves the needle.
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 4). After 10 games, w is 71%, so the preseason prior is 29% of this rating. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -6.7 avg | × 71% | -4.8 |
| Opponents faced | -12.7 avg | × 71% | -9.1 |
| Preseason prior | -10.5 | × 29% | -3.0 |
| Power | -16.9 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs | Sacramento State | W 28–17 | +9.6 | +1.4 | -0.8 |
| 1 | vs | San Jose State | L 21–27 | -1.2 | -4.8 | -1.7 |
| 2 | at | Michigan State | L 7–35 | -21.8 | -6.2 | -2.0 |
| 3 | at | Wisconsin | L 10–54 | -29.6 | -14.4 | -2.2 |
| 4 | vs | Lindenwood FCS | W 29–3 | +19.8 | +6.2 | -0.9 |
| 5 | at | UMass | W 38–14 | -1.2 | +25.2 | +0.9 |
| 6 | at | Akron | W 25–23 | +2.9 | -0.9 | -1.2 |
| 7 | vs | Toledo | L 14–34 | -11.7 | -8.3 | -2.1 |
| 8 | at | Ohio | L 20–24 | -13.1 | +9.1 | -0.7 |
| 10 | N | Central Michigan | L 7–35 | -5.5 | -22.5 | -3.2 |
| Preseason prior (29% of the rating) | -3.0 | |||||
| Power | -16.9 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | at | Western Michigan | -19.3 | 12% |
| 13 | vs | Kent State | +7.0 | 66% |
Coaches
Mean added leaves out 1978–1980, the first seasons rated, which have no preseason prior to measure against.
| Coach | Years | Record | Mean added |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Stock | 1978–1982 | 6-38-1 | -7.3 |
| Jim Harkema | 1983–1992 | 41-57-5 | -5.0 |
| Ron Cooper | 1993–1994 | 9-13 | -2.3 |
| Rick Rasnick | 1995–1999 | 20-35 | -4.6 |
| Jeff Woodruff | 2000–2003 | 11-35 | -10.0 |
| Jeff Genyk | 2004–2008 | 16-42 | -4.4 |
| Ron English | 2009–2013 | 11-46 | -9.6 |
| Chris Creighton | 2014–2026 | 65-89 | -3.0 |
Season by season
Best finish: #52 in 2018. 48 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4–8 | #123 of 136 · -16.72 | – |
| 2024 | 5–7 | #120 of 134 · -15.14 | – |
| 2023 | 6–7 | #127 of 133 · -17.79 | – |
| 2022 | 9–4 | #102 of 131 · -9.99 | – |
| 2021 | 7–6 | #99 of 130 · -9.55 | – |
| 2020 | 2–4 | #107 of 128 · -11.64 | – |
| 2019 | 6–7 | #97 of 130 · -8.47 | #97 of 130 · -4.02 |
| 2018 | 7–6 | #80 of 130 · -3.02 | #52 of 130 · 31.07 |
| 2017 | 5–7 | #88 of 130 · -6.18 | #68 of 130 · 21.02 |
| 2016 | 7–6 | #103 of 128 · -12.33 | #83 of 128 · 6.65 |
| 2015 | 1–11 | #128 of 128 · -27.92 | #125 of 128 · -65.94 |
| 2014 | 2–10 | #128 of 128 · -30.63 | #128 of 128 · -84.71 |
| 2013 | 2–10 | #125 of 125 · -31.85 | #125 of 126 · -84.77 |
| 2012 | 2–10 | #119 of 124 · -21.49 | #117 of 124 · -45.07 |
| 2011 | 6–6 | #107 of 120 · -15.92 | #77 of 120 · 8.41 |
| 2010 | 2–10 | #119 of 120 · -28.86 | #118 of 120 · -67.35 |
| 2009 | 0–12 | #120 of 120 · -26.66 | #119 of 120 · -77.09 |
| 2008 | 3–9 | #112 of 120 · -18.03 | #107 of 120 · -25.67 |
| 2007 | 4–8 | #105 of 119 · -15.36 | #105 of 120 · -20.89 |
| 2006 | 1–11 | #112 of 119 · -18.43 | #113 of 119 · -45.70 |
| 2005 | 4–7 | #99 of 119 · -13.78 | #84 of 119 · 9.07 |
| 2004 | 4–7 | #115 of 117 · -22.77 | #101 of 117 · -18.71 |
| 2003 | 3–9 | #114 of 117 · -25.84 | #113 of 117 · -50.84 |
| 2002 | 3–9 | #117 of 117 · -30.50 | – |
| 2001 | 2–9 | #115 of 117 · -27.09 | – |
| 2000 | 3–8 | #109 of 116 · -20.60 | – |
| 1999 | 4–7 | #100 of 114 · -15.49 | – |
| 1998 | 3–8 | #106 of 112 · -19.05 | – |
| 1997 | 4–7 | #91 of 112 · -13.40 | – |
| 1996 | 3–8 | #96 of 111 · -14.82 | – |
| 1995 | 6–5 | #86 of 108 · -11.24 | – |
| 1994 | 5–6 | #92 of 107 · -15.26 | – |
| 1993 | 4–7 | #102 of 106 · -20.95 | – |
| 1992 | 1–10 | #104 of 107 · -23.63 | – |
| 1991 | 3–8 | #97 of 107 · -16.87 | – |
| 1990 | 2–9 | #102 of 107 · -19.44 | – |
| 1989 | 7–4 | #83 of 106 · -10.97 | – |
| 1988 | 6–4 | #84 of 104 · -12.03 | – |
| 1987 | 10–2 | #67 of 104 · -5.54 | – |
| 1986 | 6–5 | #95 of 105 · -16.48 | – |
| 1985 | 4–7 | #100 of 106 · -18.24 | – |
| 1984 | 2–9 | #102 of 106 · -19.87 | – |
| 1983 | 1–10 | #105 of 105 · -26.85 | – |
| 1982 | 1–10 | #105 of 105 · -24.81 | – |
| 1981 | 0–11 | #136 of 136 · -30.09 | – |
| 1980 | 1–9 | #137 of 138 · -28.12 | – |
| 1979 | 2–9 | #128 of 138 · -17.38 | – |
| 1978 | 3–7 | #125 of 138 · -14.04 | – |