Akron
MAC · 1–9 · 0–6 in conference · MRI Classic #137
Who to root for this week
Nothing this weekend moves the needle.
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 4). After 10 games, w is 71%, so the preseason prior is 29% of this rating. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -17.9 avg | × 71% | -12.8 |
| Opponents faced | -9.8 avg | × 71% | -7.0 |
| Preseason prior | -10.5 | × 29% | -3.0 |
| Power | -22.8 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at | Wake Forest | L 16–38 | -39.7 | +17.7 | -0.7 |
| 2 | vs | Robert Morris FCS | W 45–10 | +13.9 | +21.1 | -0.6 |
| 3 | at | Minnesota | L 7–41 | -29.1 | -4.9 | -2.2 |
| 4 | vs | UNLV | L 10–38 | -13.6 | -14.4 | -3.0 |
| 5 | at | Central Michigan | L 17–41 | -14.5 | -9.5 | -2.7 |
| 6 | vs | Eastern Michigan | L 23–25 | -2.9 | +0.9 | -1.6 |
| 7 | at | Miami (OH) | L 14–34 | -16.3 | -3.7 | -2.3 |
| 8 | at | Kent State | L 20–35 | -5.0 | -10.0 | -2.7 |
| 10 | vs | Ohio | L 20–28 | -13.0 | +5.0 | -1.4 |
| 11 | vs | Western Michigan | L 14–42 | -19.2 | -8.8 | -2.6 |
| Preseason prior (29% of the rating) | -3.0 | |||||
| Power | -22.8 | |||||
Remaining schedule
Coaches
| Coach | Years | Record | Mean added |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gerry Faust | 1987–1994 | 36-49-3 | -6.0 |
| Lee Owens | 1995–2003 | 40-61 | -3.0 |
| J.D. Brookhart | 2004–2009 | 30-42 | -4.6 |
| Rob Ianello | 2010–2011 | 2-22 | -13.5 |
| Terry Bowden | 2012–2018 | 35-52 | -2.6 |
| Tom Arth | 2019–2021 | 3-24 | -14.2 |
| Joe Moorhead | 2022–2026 | 14-44 | -5.4 |
Season by season
Best finish: #58 in 2015. 39 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5–7 | #125 of 136 · -18.00 | – |
| 2024 | 4–8 | #123 of 134 · -16.74 | – |
| 2023 | 2–10 | #131 of 133 · -21.47 | – |
| 2022 | 2–10 | #127 of 131 · -19.59 | – |
| 2021 | 2–10 | #127 of 130 · -26.36 | – |
| 2020 | 1–5 | #125 of 128 · -29.59 | – |
| 2019 | 0–12 | #129 of 130 · -32.82 | #129 of 130 · -111.97 |
| 2018 | 4–8 | #106 of 130 · -14.22 | #111 of 130 · -29.68 |
| 2017 | 7–7 | #100 of 130 · -9.94 | #99 of 130 · -1.75 |
| 2016 | 5–7 | #97 of 128 · -10.84 | #102 of 128 · -14.18 |
| 2015 | 8–5 | #88 of 128 · -6.62 | #58 of 128 · 30.41 |
| 2014 | 5–7 | #106 of 128 · -13.05 | #93 of 128 · -4.16 |
| 2013 | 5–7 | #112 of 125 · -17.37 | #85 of 126 · -1.78 |
| 2012 | 1–11 | #120 of 124 · -22.34 | #112 of 124 · -32.58 |
| 2011 | 1–11 | #120 of 120 · -29.85 | #120 of 120 · -86.53 |
| 2010 | 1–11 | #118 of 120 · -26.84 | #119 of 120 · -72.11 |
| 2009 | 3–9 | #109 of 120 · -16.20 | #110 of 120 · -28.30 |
| 2008 | 5–7 | #92 of 120 · -9.82 | #76 of 120 · 11.69 |
| 2007 | 4–8 | #100 of 119 · -14.11 | #96 of 120 · -10.62 |
| 2006 | 5–7 | #94 of 119 · -9.67 | #79 of 119 · 6.11 |
| 2005 | 7–6 | #84 of 119 · -8.17 | #78 of 119 · 16.07 |
| 2004 | 6–5 | #92 of 117 · -10.54 | #84 of 117 · -0.05 |
| 2003 | 7–5 | #79 of 117 · -7.32 | #62 of 117 · 28.66 |
| 2002 | 4–8 | #96 of 117 · -12.85 | – |
| 2001 | 4–7 | #90 of 117 · -10.96 | – |
| 2000 | 6–5 | #86 of 116 · -8.11 | – |
| 1999 | 7–4 | #94 of 114 · -10.70 | – |
| 1998 | 4–7 | #97 of 112 · -15.80 | – |
| 1997 | 2–9 | #105 of 112 · -21.27 | – |
| 1996 | 4–7 | #103 of 111 · -22.16 | – |
| 1995 | 2–9 | #106 of 108 · -31.02 | – |
| 1994 | 1–10 | #107 of 107 · -31.67 | – |
| 1993 | 5–6 | #94 of 106 · -16.00 | – |
| 1992 | 7–4 | #90 of 107 · -10.00 | – |
| 1991 | 5–6 | #96 of 107 · -16.84 | – |
| 1990 | 3–8 | #86 of 107 · -11.64 | – |
| 1989 | 6–5 | #81 of 106 · -10.52 | – |
| 1988 | 5–6 | #90 of 104 · -14.60 | – |
| 1987 | 4–7 | #101 of 104 · -21.77 | – |