North Carolina
ACC · 2–0 · MRI Classic #49
Power-1.8#77 of 138
Résumé+0.74#10 · wins above average
Movement+1up from #78 last week
Best winTCU (15–10)
Schedule faced-13.4 avg opponent
Schedule ahead+10.7 avg opponent
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N | TCU | W 15–10 | -9.8 | +14.8 |
| 2 | vs | East Tennessee State FCS | W 35–3 | +37.1 | -5.1 |
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Clemson | -11.5 | 24% |
| 5 | vs | Notre Dame | -29.9 | 4% |
| 6 | at | Pittsburgh | -18.1 | 14% |
| 7 | at | Duke | -17.2 | 15% |
| 8 | vs | Syracuse | +9.0 | 71% |
| 9 | vs | Miami (FL) | -25.8 | 6% |
| 10 | at | UConn | +1.5 | 54% |
| 11 | vs | Louisville | -12.0 | 23% |
Season by season
Best finish: #20 in 2020. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rank | Rec | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 90 of 136 | 4–8 | -6.20 | Power |
| 2024 | 65 of 134 | 6–7 | 1.71 | Power |
| 2023 | 38 of 133 | 8–5 | 7.43 | Power |
| 2022 | 48 of 131 | 9–5 | 6.09 | Power |
| 2021 | 51 of 130 | 6–7 | 5.18 | Power |
| 2020 | 20 of 128 | 8–4 | 11.62 | Power |
| 2019 | 32 of 130 | 7–6 | 44.97 | MRI |
| 2018 | 103 of 130 | 2–9 | -21.15 | MRI |
| 2017 | 104 of 130 | 3–9 | -14.83 | MRI |
| 2016 | 50 of 128 | 8–5 | 31.81 | MRI |
| 2015 | 24 of 128 | 11–3 | 64.84 | MRI |
| 2014 | 103 of 128 | 6–7 | -12.91 | MRI |
| 2013 | 43 of 126 | 7–6 | 43.76 | MRI |
| 2012 | 39 of 124 | 8–4 | 46.14 | MRI |
| 2011 | 58 of 120 | 7–6 | 25.99 | MRI |
| 2010 | 45 of 120 | 8–5 | 34.60 | MRI |
| 2009 | 43 of 120 | 8–5 | 38.18 | MRI |
| 2008 | 44 of 120 | 8–5 | 38.34 | MRI |
| 2007 | 84 of 120 | 4–8 | 7.99 | MRI |
| 2006 | 105 of 119 | 3–9 | -22.20 | MRI |
| 2005 | 66 of 119 | 5–6 | 23.82 | MRI |
| 2004 | 73 of 117 | 6–6 | 17.24 | MRI |
| 2003 | 99 of 117 | 2–10 | -22.88 | MRI |