The MRI
2026 · Week 2

Virginia

ACC · 2–0 · MRI Classic #21

Power+12.9#24 of 138
Résumé+0.51#27 · wins above average
Movement+1up from #25 last week
Best winNC State (34–8)
Schedule faced-15.2 avg opponent
Schedule ahead+1.1 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 vs NC State W 34–8 +12.8 +13.2
2 vs Norfolk State FCS W 59–3 +51.8 +4.2

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 N West Virginia +15.5 83%
4 vs Delaware +27.6 95%
5 at Florida State +3.3 58%
6 vs Syracuse +23.7 92%
7 at SMU -8.2 31%
8 vs Duke +6.0 64%
9 at Wake Forest +6.2 65%
11 vs California +23.6 92%

Season by season

Best finish: #12 in 2004. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 150 2003: #38 of 117 (8-5)2004: #12 of 117 (8-4)2005: #52 of 119 (7-5)2006: #77 of 119 (5-7)2007: #44 of 120 (9-4)2008: #85 of 120 (5-7)2009: #101 of 120 (3-9)2010: #92 of 120 (4-8)2011: #69 of 120 (8-5)2012: #96 of 124 (4-8)2013: #98 of 126 (2-10)2014: #60 of 128 (5-7)2015: #91 of 128 (4-8)2016: #120 of 128 (2-10)2017: #84 of 130 (6-6)2018: #38 of 130 (8-5)2019: #41 of 130 (9-5)2020: #53 of 128 (5-5)2021: #62 of 130 (6-6)2022: #88 of 131 (3-7)2023: #94 of 133 (3-9)2024: #87 of 134 (5-7)2025: #35 of 136 (11-3) 2003 2025

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025 35 of 136 11–3 9.08 Power
2024 87 of 134 5–7 -4.14 Power
2023 94 of 133 3–9 -6.93 Power
2022 88 of 131 3–7 -5.93 Power
2021 62 of 130 6–6 2.62 Power
2020 53 of 128 5–5 2.71 Power
2019 41 of 130 9–5 35.07 MRI
2018 38 of 130 8–5 42.50 MRI
2017 84 of 130 6–6 13.39 MRI
2016 120 of 128 2–10 -36.75 MRI
2015 91 of 128 4–8 -2.05 MRI
2014 60 of 128 5–7 27.65 MRI
2013 98 of 126 2–10 -14.03 MRI
2012 96 of 124 4–8 -10.30 MRI
2011 69 of 120 8–5 17.77 MRI
2010 92 of 120 4–8 -6.84 MRI
2009 101 of 120 3–9 -11.10 MRI
2008 85 of 120 5–7 3.56 MRI
2007 44 of 120 9–4 42.31 MRI
2006 77 of 119 5–7 6.87 MRI
2005 52 of 119 7–5 33.63 MRI
2004 12 of 117 8–4 83.55 MRI
2003 38 of 117 8–5 48.61 MRI