The MRI
2026 · Week 2

Louisville

ACC · 1–1 · MRI Classic #61

Power+14.4#23 of 138
Résumé-0.05#91 · wins above average
Movementunchanged from #23 last week
Best winVillanova (59–13)
Worst lossOle Miss (38–41)
Schedule faced-7.3 avg opponent
Schedule ahead+2.5 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 N Ole Miss L 38–41 -5.7 +2.7
2 vs Villanova FCS W 59–13 +53.3 -7.3

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs SMU +1.8 54%
4 vs Wake Forest +16.2 84%
5 at NC State +5.8 64%
6 vs Florida State +13.3 79%
7 at Syracuse +16.8 84%
9 vs Stanford +28.5 96%
10 at Georgia Tech +8.4 70%
11 at North Carolina +12.0 77%

Season by season

Best finish: #3 in 2004. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 150 2003: #43 of 117 (9-4)2004: #3 of 117 (11-1)2005: #12 of 119 (9-3)2006: #4 of 119 (12-1)2007: #53 of 120 (6-6)2008: #89 of 120 (5-7)2009: #90 of 120 (4-8)2010: #43 of 120 (7-6)2011: #60 of 120 (7-6)2012: #31 of 124 (11-2)2013: #6 of 126 (12-1)2014: #27 of 128 (9-4)2015: #51 of 128 (8-5)2016: #7 of 128 (9-4)2017: #28 of 130 (8-4)2018: #125 of 130 (2-10)2019: #65 of 130 (8-5)2020: #59 of 128 (4-7)2021: #52 of 130 (6-7)2022: #23 of 131 (8-5)2023: #22 of 133 (10-4)2024: #15 of 134 (9-4)2025: #24 of 136 (9-4) 2003 2025

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025 24 of 136 9–4 13.39 Power
2024 15 of 134 9–4 16.99 Power
2023 22 of 133 10–4 11.95 Power
2022 23 of 131 8–5 11.92 Power
2021 52 of 130 6–7 5.15 Power
2020 59 of 128 4–7 2.07 Power
2019 65 of 130 8–5 14.59 MRI
2018 125 of 130 2–10 -51.84 MRI
2017 28 of 130 8–4 58.14 MRI
2016 7 of 128 9–4 84.00 MRI
2015 51 of 128 8–5 38.62 MRI
2014 27 of 128 9–4 54.24 MRI
2013 6 of 126 12–1 91.57 MRI
2012 31 of 124 11–2 52.47 MRI
2011 60 of 120 7–6 25.86 MRI
2010 43 of 120 7–6 35.72 MRI
2009 90 of 120 4–8 -2.74 MRI
2008 89 of 120 5–7 -2.39 MRI
2007 53 of 120 6–6 32.33 MRI
2006 4 of 119 12–1 107.69 MRI
2005 12 of 119 9–3 80.23 MRI
2004 3 of 117 11–1 121.95 MRI
2003 43 of 117 9–4 45.02 MRI