NC State

ACC · 1–1 · MRI Classic #71

Power+4.4#52 of 138

Résumé-0.09#102 · wins above average

Movement+10up from #62 last week

Best winRichmond (73–0)
Worst lossVirginia (8–34)
Schedule faced-10.9 avg opponent
Schedule ahead+1.4 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

Wk		Opponent	Result	Expected	Perf
1	at	Virginia	L 8–34	-12.8	-13.2
2	vs	Richmond FCS	W 73–0	+43.3	+29.7

Remaining schedule

Wk		Opponent	Projected	Win prob
3	at	Vanderbilt	-12.7	22%
4	vs	Appalachian State	+15.6	83%
5	vs	Louisville	-5.8	36%
6	vs	Wake Forest	+6.2	65%
8	at	Stanford	+10.0	73%
9	vs	California	+15.1	82%
10	vs	Duke	-2.5	44%
11	vs	Syracuse	+15.2	82%

Season by season

Best finish: #27 in 2010. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

Season	Rank	Rec	Rating
2025	47 of 136	8–5	6.01	Power
2024	70 of 134	6–7	-0.68	Power
2023	33 of 133	9–4	8.62	Power
2022	43 of 131	8–5	7.53	Power
2021	32 of 130	9–3	10.09	Power
2020	88 of 128	8–4	-4.47	Power
2019	113 of 130	4–8	-29.51	MRI
2018	39 of 130	9–4	41.09	MRI
2017	32 of 130	8–4	48.72	MRI
2016	43 of 128	7–6	40.77	MRI
2015	53 of 128	7–6	37.36	MRI
2014	56 of 128	8–5	33.31	MRI
2013	88 of 126	3–9	-2.58	MRI
2012	76 of 124	7–6	7.14	MRI
2011	52 of 120	8–5	28.73	MRI
2010	27 of 120	9–4	58.35	MRI
2009	96 of 120	5–7	-5.63	MRI
2008	84 of 120	6–7	4.98	MRI
2007	95 of 120	5–7	-8.36	MRI
2006	89 of 119	3–9	-1.40	MRI
2005	47 of 119	7–5	38.10	MRI
2004	48 of 117	5–6	33.96	MRI
2003	33 of 117	8–5	50.25	MRI