The MRI
2026 · Week 2

Duke

ACC · 2–0 · MRI Classic #20

Power+11.1#31 of 138
Résumé+1.27#2 · wins above average
Movement+5up from #36 last week
Best winIllinois (31–27)
Schedule faced+5.1 avg opponent
Schedule ahead+0.2 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 vs Tulane W 17–3 +13.1 +0.9
2 at Illinois W 31–27 -1.1 +5.1

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs Stanford +25.2 94%
4 vs William & Mary FCS +50.0 100%
6 at Georgia Tech +5.1 62%
7 vs North Carolina +17.2 85%
8 at Virginia -6.0 36%
9 vs Boston College +22.6 92%
10 at NC State +2.5 56%
11 at Miami (FL) -21.3 10%

Season by season

Best finish: #30 in 2023. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 150 2003: #85 of 117 (4-8)2004: #105 of 117 (2-9)2005: #114 of 119 (1-10)2006: #115 of 119 (0-12)2007: #112 of 120 (1-11)2008: #88 of 120 (4-8)2009: #95 of 120 (5-7)2010: #102 of 120 (3-9)2011: #101 of 120 (3-9)2012: #79 of 124 (6-7)2013: #45 of 126 (10-4)2014: #57 of 128 (9-4)2015: #67 of 128 (8-5)2016: #95 of 128 (4-8)2017: #51 of 130 (6-6)2018: #67 of 130 (8-5)2019: #104 of 130 (5-7)2020: #106 of 128 (2-9)2021: #120 of 130 (3-9)2022: #63 of 131 (9-4)2023: #30 of 133 (8-5)2024: #51 of 134 (9-4)2025: #42 of 136 (9-5) 2003 2025

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025 42 of 136 9–5 7.42 Power
2024 51 of 134 9–4 4.90 Power
2023 30 of 133 8–5 9.85 Power
2022 63 of 131 9–4 2.85 Power
2021 120 of 130 3–9 -18.98 Power
2020 106 of 128 2–9 -12.25 Power
2019 104 of 130 5–7 -9.76 MRI
2018 67 of 130 8–5 22.46 MRI
2017 51 of 130 6–6 33.42 MRI
2016 95 of 128 4–8 -9.41 MRI
2015 67 of 128 8–5 22.63 MRI
2014 57 of 128 9–4 32.25 MRI
2013 45 of 126 10–4 40.71 MRI
2012 79 of 124 6–7 2.97 MRI
2011 101 of 120 3–9 -20.48 MRI
2010 102 of 120 3–9 -20.77 MRI
2009 95 of 120 5–7 -5.59 MRI
2008 88 of 120 4–8 -2.17 MRI
2007 112 of 120 1–11 -35.78 MRI
2006 115 of 119 0–12 -57.01 MRI
2005 114 of 119 1–10 -43.37 MRI
2004 105 of 117 2–9 -24.97 MRI
2003 85 of 117 4–8 1.69 MRI