The MRI
2026 · Week 2

Michigan State

Big Ten · 2–0 · MRI Classic #19

Power+1.8#61 of 138
Résumé+0.50#28 · wins above average
Movement+13up from #74 last week
Best winToledo (30–20)
Schedule faced-8.2 avg opponent
Schedule ahead+9.4 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 vs Toledo W 30–20 +2.7 +7.3
2 vs Eastern Michigan W 35–7 +25.8 +2.2

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at Notre Dame -34.8 2%
4 vs Nebraska -4.3 40%
5 at Wisconsin -2.3 44%
6 vs Illinois -2.0 45%
7 vs Northwestern +4.2 60%
8 at UCLA -8.1 31%
10 at Michigan -15.0 18%
11 vs Washington -6.2 35%

Season by season

Best finish: #4 in 2014. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 100 2003: #46 of 117 (8-5)2004: #39 of 117 (5-7)2005: #46 of 119 (5-6)2006: #70 of 119 (4-8)2007: #33 of 120 (7-6)2008: #37 of 120 (9-4)2009: #64 of 120 (6-7)2010: #33 of 120 (11-2)2011: #17 of 120 (11-3)2012: #32 of 124 (7-6)2013: #5 of 126 (13-1)2014: #4 of 128 (11-2)2015: #8 of 128 (12-2)2016: #85 of 128 (3-9)2017: #30 of 130 (9-3)2018: #36 of 130 (7-6)2019: #33 of 130 (7-6)2020: #82 of 128 (2-5)2021: #22 of 130 (11-2)2022: #57 of 131 (5-7)2023: #82 of 133 (4-8)2024: #84 of 134 (5-7)2025: #73 of 136 (4-8) 2003 2025

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 100 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025 73 of 136 4–8 -1.57 Power
2024 84 of 134 5–7 -3.50 Power
2023 82 of 133 4–8 -3.84 Power
2022 57 of 131 5–7 4.62 Power
2021 22 of 130 11–2 11.80 Power
2020 82 of 128 2–5 -2.23 Power
2019 33 of 130 7–6 41.63 MRI
2018 36 of 130 7–6 44.56 MRI
2017 30 of 130 9–3 57.63 MRI
2016 85 of 128 3–9 4.17 MRI
2015 8 of 128 12–2 80.10 MRI
2014 4 of 128 11–2 97.52 MRI
2013 5 of 126 13–1 92.46 MRI
2012 32 of 124 7–6 52.07 MRI
2011 17 of 120 11–3 62.58 MRI
2010 33 of 120 11–2 52.81 MRI
2009 64 of 120 6–7 22.65 MRI
2008 37 of 120 9–4 43.73 MRI
2007 33 of 120 7–6 52.48 MRI
2006 70 of 119 4–8 9.99 MRI
2005 46 of 119 5–6 39.23 MRI
2004 39 of 117 5–7 41.61 MRI
2003 46 of 117 8–5 43.23 MRI