The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1983

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 16 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 31

Wilder than 31% of weeks in the archive.

6 upsets against 6.0 expected

  • Biggest shockMiami (FL) over Nebraska26% chance · won 31-30
  • Runner-upUCLA over Illinois40% chance · won 45-9
  • Runner-upTennessee over Maryland44% chance · won 30-23

Upsets

Sat, Dec 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Ole MissvsAir Force
26%
74%
3
9
✓
AF −9.6
–
–

Sat, Dec 17

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
Cal State FullertonvsNorthern Illinois
14%
86%
13
20
✓
NIU −17.2
–
–
Final
#19MarylandvsTennesseeUpset
56%
44%
23
30
✗
MD −3.1
–
–

Thu, Dec 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Kentuckyvs#17West Virginia
23%
77%
16
20
✓
WVU −11.2
–
–

Fri, Dec 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#24Missourivs#3BYU
29%
71%
17
21
✓
BYU −8.3
–
–

Sat, Dec 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#22SMUvs#12Alabama
39%
61%
7
28
✓
ALA −4.0
–
–

Mon, Dec 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#23WashingtonvsPenn StateUpset
52%
48%
10
13
✗
WASH −1.5
–
–

Thu, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Boston Collegevs#16Notre Dame
39%
61%
18
19
✓
ND −4.1
–
–

Fri, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
#11Iowavs#7Florida
45%
55%
6
14
✓
FLA −1.7
–
–
Final
#15North Carolinavs#21Florida State
53%
47%
3
28
✗
UNC −1.6
–
–

Sat, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
BaylorvsOklahoma State
39%
61%
14
24
✓
OKST −3.9
–
–

Mon, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 5 games

Final
#6Michiganvs#4Auburn
47%
53%
7
9
✓
AUB −0.6
–
–
Final
#5Texasvs#10Georgia
54%
46%
9
10
✗
TEX −2.2
–
–
Final
#1Nebraskavs#2Miami (FL)
74%
26%
30
31
✗
NEB −10.6
–
–
Final
#13Pittsburghvs#8Ohio State
44%
56%
23
28
✓
OSU −2.1
–
–
Final
#9Illinoisvs#20UCLA
60%
40%
9
45
✗
ILL −4.4
–
–