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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 11 slate, 1983

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 56

Wilder than 56% of weeks in the archive.

16 upsets against 13.8 expected

  • Biggest shockKansas State over Oklahoma State6.5% chance · won 21-20
  • Runner-upOhio over Miami (OH)20% chance · won 17-14
  • Runner-upColorado over Kansas25% chance · won 34-23

Upsets

Thu, Nov 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Virginia@Georgia Tech
51%
49%
27
31
✗
UVA −0.8
–
–

Sat, Nov 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 45 games

Final
Hawaii@Air Force
39%
61%
10
45
✓
AF −3.8
–
–
Final
#13Alabama@LSU
63%
37%
32
26
✓
ALA −5.7
–
–
Final
#17Maryland@#5Auburn
32%
68%
23
35
✓
AUB −6.8
–
–
Final
Baylor@Arkansas
34%
66%
24
21
✗
ARK −6.3
–
–
Final
Boston College@Army
95%
4.9%
34
14
✓
BC −26.9
–
–
Final
Ball State@Bowling Green
23%
77%
30
45
✓
BGSU −11.5
–
–
Final
#4BYU@UTEP
98%
2.4%
31
9
✓
BYU −32.0
–
–
Final
#21Arizona State@CaliforniaUpset
63%
37%
24
26
✗
ASU −5.9
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Central Michigan
58%
42%
14
30
✗
NIU −3.6
–
–
Final
Clemson@#7North CarolinaUpset
26%
74%
16
3
✗
UNC −9.7
–
–
Final
Colorado@KansasUpset
25%
75%
34
23
✗
KU −10.3
–
–
Final
Duke@Wake Forest
36%
64%
31
21
✗
WAKE −5.5
–
–
Final
South Carolina@#16Florida State
18%
82%
30
45
✓
FSU −14.0
–
–
Final
#15Florida@#6Georgia
35%
65%
9
10
✓
UGA −5.6
–
–
Final
#9Illinois@Minnesota
96%
3.6%
50
23
✓
ILL −29.2
–
–
Final
#18Iowa@Wisconsin
49%
51%
34
14
✗
IOWA −0.2
–
–
Final
Kansas State@#20Oklahoma StateUpset
6.5%
94%
21
20
✗
OKST −23.9
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Kent State
31%
69%
13
37
✓
KENT −7.5
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Vanderbilt
50%
50%
17
8
✓
UK −0.5
–
–
Final
Memphis@Mississippi State
38%
62%
30
13
✗
MSST −4.3
–
–
Final
East Carolina@#2Miami (FL)
8.7%
91%
7
12
✓
MIA −21.3
–
–
Final
Purdue@#8Michigan
8.0%
92%
10
42
✓
MICH −22.1
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Northwestern
81%
19%
9
3
✓
MSU −14.4
–
–
Final
#14Oklahoma@#25Missouri
51%
49%
0
10
✗
OU −0.9
–
–
Final
Iowa State@#1Nebraska
0.5%
>99%
29
72
✓
NEB −41.5
–
–
Final
UNLV@Fresno State
52%
48%
20
7
✓
UNLV −1.5
–
–
Final
Wyoming@New Mexico
32%
68%
10
17
✓
UNM −7.1
–
–
Final
Wichita State@New Mexico State
42%
58%
28
62
✓
NMSU −2.8
–
–
Final
Ohio@Miami (OH)Upset
20%
80%
17
14
✗
M-OH −12.9
–
–
Final
#10Ohio State@Indiana
90%
10%
56
17
✓
OSU −20.5
–
–
Final
#11Pittsburgh@#12Notre Dame
43%
57%
21
16
✗
ND −2.5
–
–
Final
Stanford@USC
23%
77%
7
30
✓
USC −11.1
–
–
Final
Rice@SMU
2.2%
98%
6
20
✓
SMU −32.1
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Louisville
82%
18%
27
3
✓
USM −14.8
–
–
Final
Syracuse@Navy
57%
43%
14
7
✓
SYR −3.2
–
–
Final
#3Texas@Houston
92%
7.5%
9
3
✓
TEX −23.4
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@TCU
49%
51%
10
10
✗
PK
–
–
Final
Toledo@Western Michigan
77%
23%
20
16
✓
TOL −12.3
–
–
Final
#22UCLA@Oregon
83%
17%
24
13
✓
UCLA −15.5
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Utah
16%
84%
20
47
✓
UTAH −15.6
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Utah State
59%
41%
15
22
✗
SJSU −4.2
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@Tulane
54%
46%
26
10
✓
VT −2.1
–
–
Final
#23Washington@#24Arizona
43%
57%
23
22
✗
ARIZ −2.3
–
–
Final
Washington State@Oregon State
74%
26%
27
9
✓
WSU −10.5
–
–
Final
Temple@#19West Virginia
14%
86%
9
27
✓
WVU −17.0
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 5 · TBD Rutgers at Cincinnati Cincinnati −13.6 81%
Sat, Nov 5 · TBD Northern Colorado at Colorado State Colorado State −14.3 82%
Sat, Nov 5 · TBD Indiana State at West Texas Indiana State −18.0 86%
Sat, Nov 5 · TBD Long Beach State at Montana Long Beach State −13.8 80%
Sat, Nov 5 · TBD Pacific at Nevada Nevada −24.3 94%
Sat, Nov 5 · TBD Appalachian State at NC State NC State −9.0 72%
Sat, Nov 5 · TBD Brown at Penn State Penn State −35.2 99%
Sat, Nov 5 · TBD Tulsa at Drake Tulsa −32.1 98%