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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 1983

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 42

Wilder than 42% of weeks in the archive.

10 upsets against 12.0 expected

  • Biggest shockOregon over Arizona5.0% chance · won 19-10
  • Runner-upCal State Fullerton over San Jose State13% chance · won 20-11
  • Runner-upTennessee over Alabama21% chance · won 41-34

Upsets

Sat, Oct 15

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 45 games

Final
UTEP@Air Force
4.6%
95%
25
37
✓
AF −26.6
–
–
Final
#18Arizona State@USC
54%
46%
34
14
✓
ASU −2.2
–
–
Final
#8Auburn@Georgia Tech
87%
13%
31
13
✓
AUB −18.4
–
–
Final
Ball State@Kent State
50%
50%
17
13
✓
BALL −0.6
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Western Michigan
63%
37%
23
20
✓
BGSU −5.6
–
–
Final
New Mexico@#4BYU
13%
87%
21
66
✓
BYU −17.8
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@San Jose StateUpset
13%
87%
20
11
✗
SJSU −17.8
–
–
Final
Oregon State@California
8.4%
92%
19
45
✓
CAL −21.7
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Ohio
74%
26%
14
9
✓
CMU −10.7
–
–
Final
#19Clemson@Duke
82%
18%
38
31
✓
CLEM −15.1
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Colorado State
70%
30%
15
17
✗
SDSU −9.1
–
–
Final
Temple@East Carolina
32%
68%
10
24
✓
ECU −6.9
–
–
Final
#7Georgia@Vanderbilt
79%
21%
20
13
✓
UGA −13.3
–
–
Final
Hawaii@UNLV
52%
48%
23
0
✓
HAW −1.3
–
–
Final
#14Ohio State@#15Illinois
45%
55%
13
17
✓
ILL −1.6
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Indiana
54%
46%
12
24
✗
MSU −2.2
–
–
Final
Purdue@#23Iowa
12%
88%
14
31
✓
IOWA −18.7
–
–
Final
Colorado@Iowa State
46%
54%
10
22
✓
ISU −1.2
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Kansas
31%
69%
3
31
✓
KU −7.5
–
–
Final
Kentucky@LSU
27%
73%
21
13
✗
LSU −9.4
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Pacific
83%
17%
28
16
✓
Long Beach State −15.4
–
–
Final
#17Maryland@Wake Forest
85%
15%
36
33
✓
MD −16.8
–
–
Final
#2Miami (FL)@Mississippi State
84%
16%
31
7
✓
MIA −16.6
–
–
Final
Northwestern@#6Michigan
0.6%
99%
0
35
✓
MICH −39.9
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@TCU
30%
70%
20
7
✗
TCU −7.9
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Missouri
88%
12%
34
13
✓
NEB −19.4
–
–
Final
#13North Carolina@NC State
79%
21%
42
14
✓
UNC −13.5
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Eastern Michigan
84%
16%
34
15
✓
NIU −16.4
–
–
Final
#16Notre Dame@Army
97%
3.4%
42
0
✓
ND −29.6
–
–
Final
#21Oklahoma@#22Oklahoma State
44%
56%
21
20
✗
OKST −2.0
–
–
Final
Oregon@#12ArizonaUpset
5.0%
95%
19
10
✗
ARIZ −26.0
–
–
Final
Penn State@Syracuse
70%
30%
17
6
✓
PSU −9.0
–
–
Final
#11Pittsburgh@Louisville
87%
13%
55
10
✓
PITT −18.4
–
–
Final
#24Southern Miss@Memphis
78%
22%
27
20
✓
USM −12.5
–
–
Final
Tennessee@#9AlabamaUpset
20%
80%
41
34
✗
ALA −12.7
–
–
Final
#3Texas@Arkansas
64%
36%
31
3
✓
TEX −6.4
–
–
Final
Baylor@Texas A&M
40%
60%
13
13
✗
TA&M −3.5
–
–
Final
Rice@Texas Tech
10%
90%
3
14
✓
TTU −20.0
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Toledo
15%
85%
9
10
✓
TOL −16.0
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Tulane
19%
81%
15
17
✓
TULN −13.7
–
–
Final
#20UCLA@Washington State
78%
22%
24
14
✓
UCLA −12.9
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Utah
42%
58%
14
69
✓
UTAH −2.9
–
–
Final
Stanford@Washington
19%
81%
15
32
✓
WASH −13.8
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@#5West Virginia
14%
86%
0
13
✓
WVU −16.6
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Minnesota
86%
14%
56
17
✓
WIS −17.8
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 15 · TBD Cincinnati at Florida State Florida State −9.6 74%
Sat, Oct 15 · TBD Fresno State at Montana State Fresno State −20.4 90%
Sat, Oct 15 · TBD Wichita State at Indiana State Indiana State −12.2 79%
Sat, Oct 15 · TBD Navy at Princeton Navy −20.0 89%
Sat, Oct 15 · TBD Drake at New Mexico State New Mexico State −21.0 91%
Sat, Oct 15 · TBD Colgate at Rutgers Rutgers −17.2 86%
Sat, Oct 15 · TBD Illinois State at Tulsa Tulsa −42.8 >99%
Sat, Oct 15 · TBD Boise State at Utah State Boise State −3.1 56%
Sat, Oct 15 · TBD VMI at Virginia Virginia −29.7 97%