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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 2 slate, 1983

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 35 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3

Chaos 96

Wilder than 96% of weeks in the archive.

11 upsets against 9.4 expected

  • Biggest shockCal State Fullerton over Boise State4.7% chance · won 13-10
  • Runner-upPacific over Oregon7.9% chance · won 21-15
  • Runner-upLong Beach State over Kansas State11% chance · won 28-20

Upsets

Thu, Sep 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Houston@Rice
58%
42%
45
14
✓
HOU −3.7
–
–

Fri, Sep 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Syracuse@Temple
35%
65%
6
17
✓
TEM −5.6
–
–

Sat, Sep 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 20 games

Final
Air Force@Colorado State
51%
49%
34
13
✓
AF −0.9
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Arizona
18%
82%
6
50
✓
ARIZ −13.7
–
–
Final
California@Texas A&M
44%
56%
19
17
✗
TA&M −1.6
–
–
Final
#2Miami (FL)@#23Florida
54%
46%
3
28
✗
MIA −2.1
–
–
Final
East Carolina@#12Florida State
20%
80%
46
47
✓
FSU −12.5
–
–
Final
#6UCLA@#4Georgia
40%
60%
8
19
✓
UGA −3.4
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Kentucky
49%
51%
14
31
✓
PK
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Kansas StateUpset
11%
89%
28
20
✗
KSU −18.6
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Memphis
56%
44%
17
37
✗
MISS −3.0
–
–
Final
Tulane@Mississippi State
30%
70%
9
14
✓
MSST −7.5
–
–
Final
Utah@New Mexico
37%
63%
7
17
✓
UNM −4.5
–
–
Final
#8North Carolina@South Carolina
65%
35%
24
8
✓
UNC −6.4
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Kansas
41%
59%
37
34
✗
KU −3.0
–
–
Final
Pacific@OregonUpset
7.9%
92%
21
15
✗
ORE −21.5
–
–
Final
#5Pittsburgh@Tennessee
59%
41%
13
3
✓
PITT −4.1
–
–
Final
Louisville@#9SMU
15%
85%
6
24
✓
SMU −15.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@UTEP
41%
59%
9
20
✓
UTEP −3.1
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Tulsa
34%
66%
9
34
✓
TLSA −5.7
–
–
Final
Duke@Virginia
58%
42%
30
38
✗
DUKE −3.8
–
–
Final
Ohio@#21West Virginia
16%
84%
3
55
✓
WVU −15.3
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Kent State at Akron Akron −4.8 64%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Appalachian State at Wake Forest Wake Forest −8.7 72%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Rhode Island at Ball State Ball State −19.0 90%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Morgan State at Boston College Boston College −27.6 96%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Cal State Fullerton at Boise State Boise State −25.7 95%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Western Carolina at #18 Clemson Clemson −31.5 98%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Marshall at Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan −7.5 70%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Missouri Southern at Wichita State Wichita State −12.1 79%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Nevada at UNLV Nevada −2.4 55%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD West Texas at North Texas North Texas −15.0 84%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Richmond at #24 Southern Miss Southern Miss −30.3 98%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD Montana State at Washington State Washington State −22.6 93%
Sat, Sep 3 · TBD South Dakota at Wyoming Wyoming −33.3 98%