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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 3 slate, 1983

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 58 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 2

Chaos 70

Wilder than 70% of weeks in the archive.

17 upsets against 16.9 expected

  • Biggest shockIdaho State over UTEP4.4% chance · won 12-10
  • Runner-upCincinnati over Penn State16% chance · won 14-3
  • Runner-upColgate over Army16% chance · won 15-13

Upsets

Sat, Sep 10

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 42 games

Final
Texas Tech@Air Force
22%
78%
13
28
✓
AF −11.2
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@#19Alabama
19%
81%
7
20
✓
ALA −13.3
–
–
Final
Utah@#9Arizona
20%
80%
0
38
✓
ARIZ −12.6
–
–
Final
Utah State@#20Arizona State
13%
87%
12
39
✓
ASU −17.3
–
–
Final
#15Tulsa@ArkansasUpset
43%
57%
14
17
✓
ARK −2.2
–
–
Final
#23Southern Miss@AuburnUpset
44%
56%
3
24
✓
AUB −2.0
–
–
Final
Wichita State@Ball State
14%
86%
21
25
✓
BALL −16.2
–
–
Final
BYU@Baylor
52%
48%
36
40
✗
BYU −1.4
–
–
Final
#12Clemson@Boston CollegeUpset
49%
51%
16
31
✓
CLEM −0.2
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Fresno State
39%
61%
35
27
✗
FRES −3.8
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Long Beach StateUpset
23%
77%
25
19
✗
Long Beach State −11.0
–
–
Final
NC State@East Carolina
35%
65%
16
22
✓
ECU −5.3
–
–
Final
#13USC@#5Florida
28%
72%
19
19
✗
FLA −8.5
–
–
Final
#14Florida State@#22LSU
43%
57%
40
35
✗
LSU −2.3
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Hawaii
23%
77%
0
34
✓
HAW −11.1
–
–
Final
Duke@Indiana
44%
56%
10
15
✓
IU −1.7
–
–
Final
Iowa@Iowa State
44%
56%
51
10
✗
ISU −1.7
–
–
Final
TCU@Kansas
44%
56%
16
16
✗
KU −1.7
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Kentucky
33%
67%
12
31
✓
UK −6.5
–
–
Final
#18Maryland@Vanderbilt
52%
48%
21
14
✓
MD −1.3
–
–
Final
#11Miami (FL)@Houston
48%
52%
29
7
✗
HOU −0.5
–
–
Final
Washington State@#17Michigan
17%
83%
17
20
✓
MICH −14.1
–
–
Final
Colorado@Michigan State
26%
74%
17
23
✓
MSU −9.3
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Rice
62%
38%
21
17
✓
MINN −5.3
–
–
Final
Illinois@Missouri
46%
54%
18
28
✓
MIZ −1.0
–
–
Final
Wyoming@#1Nebraska
2.6%
97%
20
56
✓
NEB −29.9
–
–
Final
Memphis@#4North Carolina
10.0%
90%
10
24
✓
UNC −19.4
–
–
Final
Notre Dame@Purdue
57%
43%
52
6
✓
ND −3.1
–
–
Final
Oregon@#24Ohio State
12%
88%
6
31
✓
OSU −17.8
–
–
Final
#21Oklahoma@Stanford
46%
54%
27
14
✗
STAN −1.0
–
–
Final
Temple@#3Pittsburgh
18%
82%
0
35
✓
PITT −13.8
–
–
Final
California@San Diego State
52%
48%
14
28
✗
CAL −1.4
–
–
Final
UNLV@San Jose State
26%
74%
26
31
✓
SJSU −9.4
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@South Carolina
41%
59%
3
24
✓
SC −3.0
–
–
Final
Kent State@Syracuse
19%
81%
10
22
✓
SYR −13.2
–
–
Final
#25New Mexico@TennesseeUpset
47%
53%
6
31
✓
TENN −0.5
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Tulane
30%
70%
23
27
✓
TULN −7.7
–
–
Final
Navy@Virginia
44%
56%
16
27
✓
UVA −1.9
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Virginia Tech
26%
74%
13
6
✗
VT −9.7
–
–
Final
Washington@Northwestern
71%
29%
34
0
✓
WASH −9.1
–
–
Final
Pacific@#6West Virginia
1.0%
99%
7
48
✓
WVU −36.2
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Wisconsin
28%
72%
9
37
✓
WIS −8.4
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Abilene Christian at West Texas West Texas −0.3 52%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Akron at Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan −1.3 55%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Northern Michigan at Central Michigan Central Michigan −22.2 93%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Cincinnati at #10 Penn State Penn State −15.2 84%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Colgate at Army Army −15.0 84%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Idaho State at UTEP UTEP −26.2 96%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Louisiana at Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe −1.9 56%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Western Kentucky at Louisville Louisville −11.7 78%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State Louisiana Tech −5.9 64%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Ohio at Richmond Ohio −10.9 75%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD North Texas at Oklahoma State Oklahoma State −11.5 78%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Oregon State at Portland State Oregon State −7.6 68%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD UConn at Rutgers Rutgers −15.8 85%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD #7 SMU at Grambling SMU −29.5 97%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD UMass at Toledo Toledo −9.7 74%
Sat, Sep 10 · TBD Western Michigan at Texas-Arlington Western Michigan −16.9 86%