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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 10 slate, 1983

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 63

Wilder than 63% of weeks in the archive.

12 upsets against 12.8 expected

  • Biggest shockIdaho State over Cal State Fullerton7.1% chance · won 43-10
  • Runner-upEastern Washington over Long Beach State14% chance · won 20-17
  • Runner-upOregon State over Stanford21% chance · won 31-18

Upsets

Sat, Oct 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 45 games

Final
Army@Air Force
4.2%
96%
20
41
✓
AF −27.4
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@#14Alabama
13%
87%
18
35
✓
ALA −17.3
–
–
Final
Rice@Arkansas
2.9%
97%
0
35
✓
ARK −30.1
–
–
Final
#11Florida@#5Auburn
36%
64%
21
28
✓
AUB −5.2
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Ball State
26%
74%
20
33
✓
BALL −10.0
–
–
Final
Tulane@Baylor
28%
72%
18
24
✓
BAY −8.7
–
–
Final
Penn State@Boston College
47%
53%
17
27
✓
BC −0.8
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Bowling Green
37%
63%
14
15
✓
BGSU −4.7
–
–
Final
Utah State@#3BYU
2.6%
97%
34
38
✓
BYU −30.8
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Clemson
13%
87%
17
24
✓
CLEM −17.8
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Colorado State
70%
30%
24
25
✗
UNM −8.8
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Duke
43%
57%
26
32
✓
DUKE −2.4
–
–
Final
#15Florida State@#19Arizona State
47%
53%
29
26
✗
ASU −0.7
–
–
Final
Temple@#6Georgia
8.7%
91%
14
31
✓
UGA −21.4
–
–
Final
UTEP@Hawaii
4.3%
96%
24
25
✓
HAW −27.1
–
–
Final
Houston@TCU
43%
57%
28
21
✗
TCU −2.2
–
–
Final
#7Michigan@#12Illinois
49%
51%
6
16
✓
ILL −0.1
–
–
Final
Indiana@#24Iowa
9.6%
90%
3
49
✓
IOWA −20.5
–
–
Final
#8North Carolina@#17Maryland
52%
48%
26
28
✗
UNC −1.1
–
–
Final
Memphis@Vanderbilt
31%
68%
24
7
✗
VAN −7.2
–
–
Final
#13West Virginia@#4Miami (FL)
28%
72%
3
20
✓
MIA −8.8
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Michigan State
15%
85%
10
34
✓
MSU −16.0
–
–
Final
LSU@Ole Miss
72%
28%
24
27
✗
LSU −9.8
–
–
Final
Missouri@Iowa State
83%
17%
41
18
✓
MIZ −15.5
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Kansas State
99%
1.0%
51
25
✓
NEB −37.8
–
–
Final
San Diego State@UNLV
41%
59%
10
28
✓
UNLV −3.2
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Miami (OH)
55%
45%
17
0
✓
NIU −2.4
–
–
Final
Navy@#10Notre Dame
4.3%
96%
12
28
✓
ND −27.1
–
–
Final
#20Wisconsin@#16Ohio State
37%
63%
27
45
✓
OSU −4.6
–
–
Final
Kansas@#18Oklahoma
15%
85%
14
45
✓
OU −15.9
–
–
Final
#23Oklahoma State@Colorado
85%
15%
40
14
✓
OKST −17.1
–
–
Final
Stanford@Oregon StateUpset
79%
21%
18
31
✗
STAN −13.5
–
–
Final
Syracuse@#9Pittsburgh
6.5%
94%
10
13
✓
PITT −23.9
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Purdue
18%
82%
17
48
✓
PUR −14.1
–
–
Final
NC State@South Carolina
33%
67%
17
31
✓
SC −6.4
–
–
Final
USC@California
42%
58%
19
9
✗
CAL −2.6
–
–
Final
SMU@Texas A&M
60%
40%
10
7
✓
SMU −4.4
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Southern Miss
7.9%
92%
3
31
✓
USM −22.2
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Rutgers
87%
13%
7
0
✓
TENN −18.6
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@#2Texas
2.7%
97%
3
20
✓
TEX −30.5
–
–
Final
Kent State@Toledo
4.3%
96%
34
37
✓
TOL −27.1
–
–
Final
Wichita State@Tulsa
3.5%
96%
19
30
✓
TLSA −28.8
–
–
Final
#22Washington@#21UCLA
42%
58%
24
27
✓
UCLA −2.9
–
–
Final
Oregon@Washington State
32%
68%
7
24
✓
WSU −7.0
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Ohio
54%
46%
16
14
✓
WMU −1.9
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 29 · TBD Kentucky at Cincinnati Cincinnati −2.7 58%
Sat, Oct 29 · TBD West Texas at Drake Drake −2.5 57%
Sat, Oct 29 · TBD East Tennessee State at East Carolina East Carolina −36.2 99%
Sat, Oct 29 · TBD Eastern Washington at Long Beach State Long Beach State −16.8 86%
Sat, Oct 29 · TBD Cal Poly at Fresno State Fresno State −25.9 95%
Sat, Oct 29 · TBD Idaho at Pacific Pacific −4.6 63%
Sat, Oct 29 · TBD Cal State Fullerton at Idaho State Cal State Fullerton −23.9 93%
Sat, Oct 29 · TBD New Mexico State at Southern Illinois Southern Illinois −0.7 53%
Sat, Oct 29 · TBD William & Mary at Virginia Tech Virginia Tech −33.7 98%