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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1983

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 44 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 44

Wilder than 44% of weeks in the archive.

9 upsets against 11.7 expected

  • Biggest shockWashington State over Washington19% chance · won 17-6
  • Runner-upLong Beach State over UNLV20% chance · won 24-21
  • Runner-upKansas over Missouri22% chance · won 37-27

Upsets

Sat, Nov 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 38 games

Final
Air Force@#17Notre DameUpset
24%
76%
23
22
✗
ND −10.8
–
–
Final
San Jose State@#22Arizona State
15%
85%
17
24
✓
ASU −16.1
–
–
Final
Kent State@Bowling Green
18%
82%
3
38
✓
BGSU −14.0
–
–
Final
Utah@#5BYU
12%
88%
7
55
✓
BYU −18.4
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Toledo
36%
64%
34
6
✗
TOL −5.3
–
–
Final
#18Clemson@South Carolina
68%
32%
22
13
✓
CLEM −7.7
–
–
Final
Kansas State@Colorado
36%
64%
21
38
✓
COLO −5.4
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Southern Miss
29%
71%
10
6
✗
USM −8.3
–
–
Final
Pacific@Hawaii
5.0%
95%
21
31
✓
HAW −25.9
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Houston
38%
62%
41
43
✓
HOU −4.2
–
–
Final
#9Illinois@Northwestern
97%
2.8%
56
24
✓
ILL −31.1
–
–
Final
Minnesota@#12Iowa
1.6%
98%
10
61
✓
IOWA −34.3
–
–
Final
#20Missouri@KansasUpset
78%
22%
27
37
✗
MIZ −12.9
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@UNLVUpset
20%
80%
24
21
✗
UNLV −13.1
–
–
Final
LSU@Tulane
55%
45%
20
7
✓
LSU −2.6
–
–
Final
#24Maryland@NC State
71%
29%
29
6
✓
MD −9.2
–
–
Final
#6Ohio State@#4Michigan
40%
60%
21
24
✓
MICH −3.6
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Ole Miss
49%
51%
23
24
✓
MSST −0.2
–
–
Final
San Diego State@New Mexico
26%
74%
14
34
✓
UNM −9.8
–
–
Final
West Texas@New Mexico State
14%
86%
24
26
✓
NMSU −17.1
–
–
Final
Duke@#16North Carolina
9.3%
91%
27
34
✓
UNC −20.8
–
–
Final
Ohio@Northern Illinois
12%
88%
17
41
✓
NIU −18.2
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Iowa State
79%
21%
30
7
✓
OKST −13.4
–
–
Final
Oregon@Oregon State
65%
35%
0
0
✓
ORE −6.7
–
–
Final
#11Pittsburgh@Penn State
57%
43%
24
24
✓
PITT −3.4
–
–
Final
Purdue@Indiana
55%
45%
31
30
✓
PUR −2.5
–
–
Final
SMU@Arkansas
50%
50%
17
0
✓
SMU −0.7
–
–
Final
#15West Virginia@SyracuseUpset
75%
25%
16
27
✗
WVU −11.3
–
–
Final
Temple@Rutgers
65%
35%
24
23
✓
TEM −6.6
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Kentucky
58%
42%
10
0
✓
TENN −3.6
–
–
Final
Baylor@#7Texas
19%
81%
21
24
✓
TEX −13.7
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@TCU
69%
31%
20
10
✓
TA&M −8.2
–
–
Final
#23UCLA@USC
57%
43%
27
17
✓
UCLA −3.2
–
–
Final
Virginia Tech@Virginia
61%
39%
48
0
✓
VT −5.0
–
–
Final
Washington State@#19WashingtonUpset
19%
81%
17
6
✗
WASH −13.4
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Western Michigan
17%
83%
10
14
✓
WMU −14.7
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Wisconsin
22%
78%
0
32
✓
WIS −12.0
–
–
Final
Colorado State@Wyoming
30%
70%
17
42
✓
WYO −8.0
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 19 · TBD Memphis at Arkansas State Memphis −11.7 76%
Sat, Nov 19 · TBD Holy Cross at Boston College Boston College −34.3 98%
Sat, Nov 19 · TBD Northern Arizona at Fresno State Fresno State −26.2 95%
Sat, Nov 19 · TBD Louisiana Tech at Louisiana Louisiana Tech −1.4 52%
Sat, Nov 19 · TBD Cincinnati at Miami (OH) Cincinnati −0.5 50%
Sat, Nov 19 · TBD Weber State at UTEP UTEP −16.3 85%