The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1983

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 15 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 36

Wilder than 36% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 4.2 expected

  • Biggest shockLouisiana over San Jose State25% chance · won 25-21
  • Runner-upWyoming over Hawaii38% chance · won 31-13
  • Runner-upBoston College over Alabama39% chance · won 20-13

Upsets

Thu, Nov 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Memphis@Louisville
74%
26%
45
7
✓
MEM −10.5
–
–

Fri, Nov 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
#10Alabama@Boston CollegeUpset
61%
39%
13
20
✗
ALA −5.1
–
–
Final
Utah State@Long Beach State
58%
42%
3
6
✗
USU −3.7
–
–
Final
Army@Navy
20%
80%
13
42
✓
NAVY −13.1
–
–

Sat, Nov 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 10 games

Final
Air Force@San Diego State
76%
24%
38
7
✓
AF −11.9
–
–
Final
Arizona@#22Arizona StateUpset
40%
60%
17
15
✗
ASU −3.5
–
–
Final
Arkansas@Texas Tech
68%
32%
16
13
✓
ARK −7.8
–
–
Final
#7Georgia@Georgia Tech
87%
13%
27
24
✓
UGA −18.3
–
–
Final
Louisiana@San Jose State
25%
75%
25
21
✗
SJSU −10.2
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@#19Oklahoma
83%
17%
28
21
✓
NEB −15.7
–
–
Final
Houston@#23SMU
12%
88%
12
34
✓
SMU −18.3
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Tennessee
19%
81%
24
34
✓
TENN −13.6
–
–
Final
#8Texas@Texas A&M
70%
30%
45
13
✓
TEX −8.7
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Hawaii
38%
62%
31
13
✗
HAW −4.4
–
–

Sun, Nov 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
California@Stanford
61%
39%
27
18
✓
CAL −5.0
–
–