The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1980

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 15 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos

Not yet ranked against the archive.

5 upsets against 5.4 expected

  • Biggest shockPurdue over Missouri37% chance · won 28-25
  • Runner-upOklahoma over Florida State41% chance · won 18-17
  • Runner-upFlorida over Maryland46% chance · won 35-20

Sat, Dec 13

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
McNeesevsSouthern Miss
31%
69%
14
16
✓
USM −7.2
–
–

Sun, Dec 14

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
NavyvsHouston
46%
54%
0
35
✓
HOU −1.2
–
–

Fri, Dec 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#18SMUvs#5BYU
24%
76%
45
46
✓
BYU −10.7
–
–

Sat, Dec 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
MarylandvsFlorida
54%
46%
20
35
✗
MD −2.2
–
–

Fri, Dec 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#8Ohio Statevs#9Penn State
51%
49%
19
31
✗
OSU −0.8
–
–

Sat, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
TulanevsArkansas
49%
51%
15
34
✓
PK
–
–
Final
Mississippi Statevs#1Nebraska
7.1%
93%
17
31
✓
NEB −23.1
–
–
Final
#15Missourivs#22Purdue
63%
37%
25
28
✗
MIZ −5.6
–
–

Mon, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#19South Carolinavs#3Pittsburgh
22%
78%
9
37
✓
PITT −11.8
–
–

Wed, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#23Texasvs#12North Carolina
33%
67%
7
16
✓
UNC −6.5
–
–

Thu, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final
#14Baylorvs#4Alabama
30%
70%
2
30
✓
ALA −7.8
–
–
Final
#13Notre Damevs#16Georgia
50%
50%
10
17
✗
ND −0.6
–
–
Final
#17Washingtonvs#10Michigan
38%
62%
6
23
✓
MICH −4.6
–
–
Final
#2Florida Statevs#6Oklahoma
59%
41%
17
18
✗
FSU −3.9
–
–

Fri, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Virginia Techvs#25Miami (FL)
32%
68%
10
20
✓
MIA −7.0
–
–