The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1980

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 17 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos

Not yet ranked against the archive.

4 upsets against 3.2 expected

  • Biggest shockRice over Houston12% chance · won 35-7
  • Runner-upTexas A&M over Texas16% chance · won 24-14
  • Runner-upSan Diego State over Utah30% chance · won 21-20

Upsets

Fri, Nov 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#3Pittsburgh@#9Penn State
55%
45%
14
9
✓
PITT −2.5
–
–

Sat, Nov 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 14 games

Final
Auburn@#4Alabama
8.4%
92%
18
34
✓
ALA −21.7
–
–
Final
#24Arizona State@Arizona
67%
33%
44
7
✓
ASU −7.7
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Arkansas
33%
67%
16
22
✓
ARK −6.4
–
–
Final
Holy Cross@Boston College
2.6%
97%
26
27
✓
BC −30.8
–
–
Final
#5BYU@UNLV
78%
22%
54
14
✓
BYU −12.6
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@#16Georgia
6.5%
94%
20
38
✓
UGA −23.8
–
–
Final
Air Force@Hawaii
21%
79%
12
20
✓
HAW −12.3
–
–
Final
Miami (FL)@Florida
42%
58%
31
7
✗
FLA −2.8
–
–
Final
Army@Navy
11%
89%
6
33
✓
NAVY −19.5
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@#6Oklahoma
6.7%
93%
14
63
✓
OU −23.6
–
–
Final
Rice@#21HoustonUpset
12%
88%
35
7
✗
HOU −18.6
–
–
Final
Utah@San Diego State
70%
30%
20
21
✗
UTAH −8.7
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Vanderbilt
89%
11%
51
13
✓
TENN −20.1
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@#20TexasUpset
16%
84%
24
14
✗
TEX −15.3
–
–

Sun, Nov 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Oregon State@#11UCLA
0.6%
99%
3
34
✓
UCLA −40.1
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 29 · TBD Rhode Island at Brown Brown −10.8 76%