Week 11 slate, 1980
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 66 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2
Chaos
Not yet ranked against the archive.
14 upsets against 15.5 expected
- Biggest shockGeorgia Tech over Notre Dame3.1% chance · won 3-3
- Runner-upVMI over Appalachian State7.4% chance · won 16-16
- Runner-upCornell over Yale11% chance · won 24-6
Upsets
- Southern Miss 0, Auburn 31#18 Southern Miss lost to unranked Auburn
- Cornell 24, Yale 6Cornell won; the model gave them 11% before kickoff
- Oregon 20, UCLA 14Oregon won; the model gave them 21% before kickoff
No games match.
Sat, Nov 8
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 60 games
Final
Western Carolina@Chattanooga
19%
81%
81%
14
39
39
✓
Chattanooga −13.8
–
–
Final
Cornell@YaleUpset
11%
89%
89%
24
6
6
✗
Yale −19.5
–
–
Final
Columbia@Dartmouth
9.6%
90%
90%
0
48
48
✓
Dartmouth −20.5
–
–
Final
William & Mary@Harvard
57%
43%
43%
13
24
24
✗
William & Mary −3.4
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Cal State Fullerton
58%
42%
42%
20
10
10
✓
Long Beach State −3.7
–
–
Final
Villanova@Pennsylvania
96%
3.5%
3.5%
34
3
3
✓
Villanova −29.3
–
–
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 8 · TBD | Nebraska-Omaha at Drake | Drake −15.1 | 84% |
| Sat, Nov 8 · TBD | Davidson at Furman | Furman −21.3 | 91% |
| Sat, Nov 8 · TBD | Mississippi College at |
Louisiana-Monroe −13.2 | 80% |
| Sat, Nov 8 · TBD | UMass at Holy Cross | UMass −15.9 | 83% |
| Sat, Nov 8 · TBD | Maine at Princeton | Maine −4.0 | 59% |
| Sat, Nov 8 · TBD | Utah State −16.4 | 84% |