The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 7 slate, 1980

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 67 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos

Not yet ranked against the archive.

12 upsets against 17.1 expected

  • Biggest shockIllinois State over Northern Illinois10% chance · won 28-18
  • Runner-upAir Force over Navy11% chance · won 21-20
  • Runner-upColorado State over New Mexico14% chance · won 31-26

Upsets

Sat, Oct 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 63 games

Final
Navy@Air ForceUpset
89%
11%
20
21
✗
NAVY −20.6
–
–
Final
#2Alabama@Rutgers
81%
19%
17
13
✓
ALA −14.3
–
–
Final
Washington State@#22Arizona State
11%
89%
21
27
✓
ASU −20.5
–
–
Final
Wichita State@#18Arkansas
2.2%
98%
7
27
✓
ARK −33.6
–
–
Final
SMU@#15Baylor
32%
68%
28
32
✓
BAY −7.7
–
–
Final
Yale@Boston College
22%
78%
9
27
✓
BC −12.7
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Toledo
30%
70%
17
6
✗
TOL −8.9
–
–
Final
Wyoming@#16BYU
17%
83%
17
52
✓
BYU −15.7
–
–
Final
Pennsylvania@Brown
6.9%
93%
22
42
✓
Brown −24.7
–
–
Final
Oregon@CaliforniaUpset
79%
21%
6
31
✗
ORE −13.4
–
–
Final
Chattanooga@VMI
72%
28%
55
10
✓
Chattanooga −9.5
–
–
Final
The Citadel@Western Carolina
60%
40%
28
21
✓
The Citadel −4.0
–
–
Final
Clemson@Virginia
68%
32%
27
24
✓
CLEM −7.5
–
–
Final
Holy Cross@Colgate
44%
56%
7
38
✓
Colgate −2.7
–
–
Final
Colorado State@New MexicoUpset
14%
86%
31
26
✗
UNM −18.1
–
–
Final
Drake@Colorado
38%
62%
41
22
✗
COLO −5.1
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Richmond
84%
16%
24
22
✓
ECU −16.6
–
–
Final
#6Pittsburgh@#3Florida State
33%
67%
22
36
✓
FSU −7.3
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@#14Georgia
20%
80%
21
28
✓
UGA −14.3
–
–
Final
Cornell@Harvard
32%
68%
12
20
✓
Harvard −7.8
–
–
Final
West Virginia@Hawaii
66%
34%
13
16
✗
WVU −7.0
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@Houston
44%
56%
7
17
✓
HOU −2.6
–
–
Final
Illinois@Iowa
28%
72%
20
14
✗
IOWA −9.9
–
–
Final
Illinois State@Northern IllinoisUpset
10%
90%
28
18
✗
NIU −20.9
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Indiana
21%
79%
0
24
✓
IU −13.7
–
–
Final
Southern Illinois@Indiana State
40%
60%
6
19
✓
Indiana State −4.2
–
–
Final
Kansas State@#21Iowa State
14%
86%
7
31
✓
ISU −18.3
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Pacific
43%
57%
17
12
✗
Pacific −3.1
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Louisiana
28%
72%
0
3
✓
UL −9.6
–
–
Final
Auburn@LSU
32%
68%
17
21
✓
LSU −7.7
–
–
Final
Lamar@Louisiana Tech
27%
73%
7
16
✓
LT −10.3
–
–
Final
Memphis@Louisville
32%
68%
14
38
✓
LOU −7.6
–
–
Final
McNeese@Louisiana-Monroe
38%
62%
48
28
✗
ULM −5.2
–
–
Final
Marshall@Miami (OH)
9.1%
91%
6
34
✓
M-OH −22.2
–
–
Final
Michigan State@#25Michigan
27%
73%
23
27
✓
MICH −10.4
–
–
Final
#8Missouri@Oklahoma State
86%
14%
30
7
✓
MIZ −17.4
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Kansas
95%
5.1%
54
0
✓
NEB −27.0
–
–
Final
UNLV@San Diego State
75%
25%
28
17
✓
UNLV −11.0
–
–
Final
#13North Carolina@Wake Forest
69%
31%
27
9
✓
UNC −8.0
–
–
Final
Appalachian State@NC State
27%
73%
14
17
✓
NCSU −10.3
–
–
Final
Miami (FL)@#20Notre Dame
37%
63%
14
32
✓
ND −5.5
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Ohio
66%
34%
9
24
✗
CMU −6.8
–
–
Final
#7Ohio State@Northwestern
99%
1.3%
63
0
✓
OSU −36.8
–
–
Final
#9Penn State@Maryland
74%
26%
24
10
✓
PSU −10.5
–
–
Final
Princeton@Columbia
75%
25%
31
19
✓
Princeton −11.0
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Purdue
33%
67%
7
21
✓
PUR −7.6
–
–
Final
Rice@TCU
44%
56%
28
24
✗
TCU −2.5
–
–
Final
Fresno State@San Jose State
19%
81%
14
26
✓
SJSU −14.6
–
–
Final
Duke@#12South Carolina
4.6%
95%
7
20
✓
SC −28.1
–
–
Final
#4USC@Arizona
84%
16%
27
10
✓
USC −16.8
–
–
Final
#19Southern Miss@Mississippi State
60%
40%
42
14
✓
USM −4.1
–
–
Final
Temple@Syracuse
40%
60%
7
31
✓
SYR −4.5
–
–
Final
#17Tennessee@Georgia Tech
89%
11%
23
10
✓
TENN −20.0
–
–
Final
#10Oklahoma@#11Texas
45%
55%
13
20
✓
TEX −2.3
–
–
Final
Tulane@Vanderbilt
88%
12%
43
21
✓
TULN −19.1
–
–
Final
North Texas@Tulsa
48%
52%
27
28
✓
TLSA −1.2
–
–
Final
#24Stanford@#5UCLA
22%
78%
21
35
✓
UCLA −12.8
–
–
Final
Utah@UTEP
77%
23%
31
7
✓
UTAH −12.4
–
–
Final
Utah State@Cal State Fullerton
77%
23%
28
17
✓
USU −11.9
–
–
Final
#23Washington@Oregon State
92%
7.6%
41
6
✓
WASH −23.7
–
–
Final
West Texas@Texas-Arlington
55%
45%
38
26
✓
West Texas −2.1
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Kent State
79%
21%
28
21
✓
WMU −13.4
–
–
Final
Dartmouth@William & Mary
40%
60%
14
17
✓
William & Mary −4.5
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 11 · TBD Eastern Michigan at Akron Akron −8.7 70%
Sat, Oct 11 · TBD Furman at East Tennessee State Furman −11.8 76%
Sat, Oct 11 · TBD Army at Lehigh Army −5.0 62%
Sat, Oct 11 · TBD Rhode Island at Virginia Tech Virginia Tech −35.1 98%