The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 1980

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 68 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos

Not yet ranked against the archive.

20 upsets against 15.7 expected

  • Biggest shockWilliam & Mary over Rutgers0.9% chance · won 21-18
  • Runner-upOregon over USC12% chance · won 7-7
  • Runner-upDuke over Clemson13% chance · won 34-17

Upsets

Sat, Oct 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 61 games

Final
#3Alabama@#19Tennessee
68%
32%
27
0
✓
ALA −8.1
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Auburn
19%
80%
14
17
✓
AUB −13.2
–
–
Final
Ball State@Eastern Michigan
82%
18%
26
0
✓
BALL −15.0
–
–
Final
#18Baylor@Texas A&M
67%
33%
46
7
✓
BAY −7.7
–
–
Final
Kent State@Bowling Green
23%
77%
3
24
✓
BGSU −11.3
–
–
Final
#13BYU@Utah State
87%
13%
70
46
✓
BYU −18.6
–
–
Final
Brown@Cornell
51%
49%
32
25
✓
Brown −0.9
–
–
Final
Oregon State@California
11%
89%
6
27
✓
CAL −19.1
–
–
Final
Chattanooga@Marshall
72%
28%
21
11
✓
Chattanooga −9.9
–
–
Final
Colorado State@San Diego State
36%
64%
26
7
✗
SDSU −5.4
–
–
Final
Harvard@Dartmouth
55%
45%
12
30
✗
Harvard −2.4
–
–
Final
West Texas@Drake
42%
58%
21
27
✓
Drake −2.8
–
–
Final
Duke@ClemsonUpset
13%
87%
34
17
✗
CLEM −17.8
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Western Carolina
80%
20%
24
14
✓
ECU −14.1
–
–
Final
Florida@Ole Miss
47%
53%
15
3
✗
MISS −0.7
–
–
Final
Boston College@#2Florida State
3.7%
96%
7
41
✓
FSU −28.4
–
–
Final
Pacific@Fresno State
35%
65%
3
27
✓
FRES −5.6
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#17Georgia
1.7%
98%
0
41
✓
UGA −33.7
–
–
Final
Hawaii@New Mexico
29%
71%
31
14
✗
UNM −8.2
–
–
Final
Houston@SMU
36%
64%
13
11
✗
SMU −5.3
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Iowa
6.7%
93%
3
25
✓
IOWA −23.6
–
–
Final
#20Iowa State@KansasUpset
83%
17%
17
28
✗
ISU −15.7
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@San Jose StateUpset
15%
85%
23
21
✗
SJSU −16.0
–
–
Final
LSU@Kentucky
66%
34%
17
10
✓
LSU −7.1
–
–
Final
Louisiana-Monroe@Lamar
69%
31%
28
6
✓
ULM −8.3
–
–
Final
Indiana State@Louisville
20%
80%
17
27
✓
LOU −13.2
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Maryland
44%
56%
10
11
✓
MD −1.8
–
–
Final
#24Michigan@Minnesota
65%
35%
37
14
✓
MICH −6.5
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Miami (FL)
31%
69%
34
31
✗
MIA −7.3
–
–
Final
Colorado@#7Missouri
0.9%
99%
7
45
✓
MIZ −37.5
–
–
Final
Villanova@Navy
10.0%
90%
15
24
✓
NAVY −20.1
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@#1Nebraska
1.1%
99%
7
48
✓
NEB −36.3
–
–
Final
UTEP@UNLV
4.7%
95%
14
53
✓
UNLV −26.5
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Texas-Arlington
50%
50%
30
10
✗
NMSU −0.4
–
–
Final
NC State@#10North Carolina
15%
85%
8
28
✓
UNC −16.0
–
–
Final
North Texas@Memphis
75%
25%
29
10
✓
UNT −11.1
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Northern IllinoisUpset
77%
23%
0
21
✗
CMU −12.4
–
–
Final
Army@#14Notre Dame
3.3%
97%
3
30
✓
ND −29.2
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Ohio
62%
38%
7
17
✗
M-OH −5.4
–
–
Final
Indiana@#4Ohio State
16%
84%
17
27
✓
OSU −15.4
–
–
Final
Kansas State@#15Oklahoma
7.6%
92%
21
35
✓
OU −22.6
–
–
Final
Syracuse@#8Penn State
16%
84%
7
24
✓
PSU −15.7
–
–
Final
West Virginia@#9Pittsburgh
11%
89%
14
42
✓
PITT −19.0
–
–
Final
Colgate@Princeton
73%
27%
10
14
✗
Colgate −10.1
–
–
Final
Purdue@Illinois
74%
26%
45
20
✓
PUR −10.8
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@#16South Carolina
2.4%
98%
7
49
✓
SC −31.3
–
–
Final
Oregon@#5USC
12%
88%
7
7
✗
USC −18.4
–
–
Final
Southern Illinois@Illinois State
53%
47%
42
0
✓
Southern Illinois −1.7
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@#12Southern Miss
1.0%
99%
0
35
✓
USM −37.0
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Rice
65%
35%
10
3
✓
TTU −6.7
–
–
Final
Air Force@Tulane
6.6%
93%
7
28
✓
TULN −23.7
–
–
Final
Tulsa@TCU
55%
44%
23
17
✓
TLSA −2.7
–
–
Final
VMI@Richmond
29%
71%
22
17
✗
Richmond −8.3
–
–
Final
Virginia@Virginia Tech
33%
67%
0
30
✓
VT −6.6
–
–
Final
#22Washington@Stanford
50%
50%
27
24
✗
WASH −0.4
–
–
Final
Washington State@Arizona
28%
72%
38
14
✗
ARIZ −8.7
–
–
Final
Toledo@Western Michigan
30%
70%
7
17
✓
WMU −8.1
–
–
Final
William & Mary@#25RutgersUpset
0.9%
99%
21
18
✗
RUTG −38.0
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Michigan StateUpset
24%
76%
17
7
✗
MSU −11.0
–
–
Final
Utah@Wyoming
51%
49%
21
24
✗
UTAH −0.8
–
–
Final
Columbia@Yale
1.0%
99%
10
30
✓
Yale −37.0
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 18 · TBD Appalachian State at Lenoir Rhyne Appalachian State −22.7 92%
Sat, Oct 18 · TBD Cal State Fullerton at Boise State Boise State −31.8 98%
Sat, Oct 18 · TBD Newberry at The Citadel The Citadel −13.1 80%
Sat, Oct 18 · TBD UConn at Holy Cross UConn −5.5 62%
Sat, Oct 18 · TBD Pennsylvania at Lafayette Lafayette −9.3 73%
Sat, Oct 18 · TBD Louisiana Tech at Northwestern State Louisiana Tech −11.0 75%
Sat, Oct 18 · TBD Akron at Temple Temple −14.3 82%