The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1980

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 58 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos

Not yet ranked against the archive.

16 upsets against 17.4 expected

  • Biggest shockCincinnati over Miami (OH)14% chance · won 23-13
  • Runner-upOklahoma over Nebraska16% chance · won 21-17
  • Runner-upLouisville over Southern Miss17% chance · won 6-3

Upsets

Sat, Nov 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 54 games

Final
Arizona@Oregon State
85%
15%
24
7
✓
ARIZ −16.7
–
–
Final
#22Oregon@#25Arizona State
47%
53%
37
42
✓
ASU −0.8
–
–
Final
Indiana State@Ball State
13%
87%
21
28
✓
BALL −17.4
–
–
Final
#19Texas@#15Baylor
37%
63%
0
16
✓
BAY −4.7
–
–
Final
#7BYU@Utah
82%
18%
56
6
✓
BYU −14.9
–
–
Final
Brown@Columbia
92%
7.8%
31
13
✓
Brown −23.1
–
–
Final
#23Stanford@CaliforniaUpset
77%
23%
23
28
✗
STAN −12.4
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@CincinnatiUpset
86%
14%
13
23
✗
M-OH −17.5
–
–
Final
#17South Carolina@ClemsonUpset
74%
26%
6
27
✗
SC −10.5
–
–
Final
Pennsylvania@Cornell
9.7%
90%
9
31
✓
Cornell −20.4
–
–
Final
The Citadel@Furman
43%
57%
15
28
✓
Furman −2.1
–
–
Final
#24Houston@Texas Tech
58%
42%
34
7
✓
HOU −3.6
–
–
Final
Iowa@Michigan StateUpset
24%
76%
41
0
✗
MSU −10.8
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Oklahoma State
54%
46%
23
21
✓
ISU −1.9
–
–
Final
Colorado@Kansas State
19%
81%
14
17
✓
KSU −13.4
–
–
Final
Toledo@Kent StateUpset
78%
22%
14
34
✗
TOL −12.6
–
–
Final
Drake@Long Beach State
40%
60%
7
21
✓
Long Beach State −3.4
–
–
Final
Tulane@LSU
43%
57%
7
24
✓
LSU −2.1
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@Louisiana-Monroe
37%
63%
14
19
✓
ULM −4.7
–
–
Final
Louisville@Southern MissUpset
17%
83%
6
3
✗
USM −15.0
–
–
Final
Maryland@Virginia
68%
32%
31
0
✓
MD −8.0
–
–
Final
Louisiana@McNeese
28%
72%
0
14
✓
McNeese −8.8
–
–
Final
Wichita State@Memphis
37%
63%
0
6
✓
MEM −4.7
–
–
Final
North Texas@Miami (FL)
26%
74%
8
26
✓
MIA −9.6
–
–
Final
#10Michigan@#5Ohio State
38%
62%
9
3
✗
OSU −4.4
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Mississippi State
29%
71%
14
19
✓
MSST −8.2
–
–
Final
Kansas@#16Missouri
17%
83%
6
31
✓
MIZ −14.9
–
–
Final
Duke@#13North Carolina
6.8%
93%
21
44
✓
UNC −23.5
–
–
Final
East Carolina@NC State
23%
77%
14
36
✓
NCSU −11.2
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Northern Illinois
8.1%
92%
6
38
✓
NIU −21.9
–
–
Final
Air Force@#11Notre Dame
1.6%
98%
10
24
✓
ND −34.1
–
–
Final
Ohio@Bowling Green
48%
52%
21
20
✗
BGSU −0.4
–
–
Final
#8Oklahoma@#1NebraskaUpset
16%
84%
21
17
✗
NEB −15.3
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Pacific
51%
49%
26
32
✗
Cal State Fullerton −1.0
–
–
Final
Dartmouth@Princeton
53%
47%
24
27
✗
Dartmouth −1.7
–
–
Final
Indiana@#21Purdue
22%
78%
23
24
✓
PUR −11.9
–
–
Final
William & Mary@Richmond
31%
69%
14
26
✓
Richmond −7.2
–
–
Final
Colgate@Rutgers
6.9%
93%
13
35
✓
RUTG −23.4
–
–
Final
New Mexico@San Diego State
50%
50%
22
24
✗
UNM −0.5
–
–
Final
Syracuse@West Virginia
42%
58%
20
7
✗
WVU −2.9
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Tennessee
23%
77%
14
45
✓
TENN −11.1
–
–
Final
TCU@Texas A&M
25%
75%
10
13
✓
TA&M −10.1
–
–
Final
Texas-Arlington@Lamar
50%
50%
44
27
✓
Texas-Arlington −0.6
–
–
Final
Tulsa@New Mexico State
78%
22%
21
20
✓
TLSA −13.1
–
–
Final
#6USC@#12UCLA
50%
50%
17
20
✓
USC −0.3
–
–
Final
Utah State@San Jose State
43%
57%
44
38
✗
SJSU −2.2
–
–
Final
Chattanooga@Vanderbilt
66%
34%
29
31
✗
Chattanooga −7.1
–
–
Final
Temple@Villanova
50%
50%
7
23
✓
TEM −0.3
–
–
Final
Appalachian State@Wake Forest
23%
77%
16
28
✓
WAKE −11.1
–
–
Final
#18Washington@Washington State
78%
22%
30
23
✓
WASH −12.8
–
–
Final
West Texas@Southern Illinois
55%
45%
23
20
✓
West Texas −2.4
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Wisconsin
59%
41%
7
25
✗
MINN −4.1
–
–
Final
Wyoming@UTEP
84%
16%
52
7
✓
WYO −16.1
–
–
Final
Yale@Harvard
64%
36%
14
0
✓
Yale −6.3
–
–

Sun, Nov 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Arkansas@#20SMU
32%
68%
7
31
✓
SMU −7.0
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 22 · TBD Austin Peay at Arkansas State Arkansas State −2.7 58%
Sat, Nov 22 · TBD Boston College at UMass Boston College −9.1 71%
Sat, Nov 22 · TBD Marshall at East Tennessee State East Tennessee State −0.3 52%