The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 12 slate, 1980

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 66 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos

Not yet ranked against the archive.

16 upsets against 16.1 expected

  • Biggest shockEastern Kentucky over East Carolina13% chance · won 28-16
  • Runner-upHawaii over UNLV17% chance · won 24-19
  • Runner-upAir Force over Wyoming21% chance · won 25-7

Upsets

Sat, Nov 15

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 60 games

Final
Wyoming@Air ForceUpset
79%
21%
7
25
✗
WYO −13.4
–
–
Final
Pacific@Arizona
11%
89%
35
63
✓
ARIZ −19.3
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@Arkansas
23%
77%
24
27
✓
ARK −11.5
–
–
Final
Ohio@Ball State
44%
56%
18
37
✓
BALL −2.0
–
–
Final
#14Baylor@Rice
86%
14%
16
6
✓
BAY −17.9
–
–
Final
Syracuse@Boston College
44%
56%
16
27
✓
BC −1.9
–
–
Final
Colorado State@#7BYU
3.5%
96%
14
45
✓
BYU −28.7
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Western Michigan
44%
56%
22
10
✗
WMU −1.8
–
–
Final
Illinois State@Chattanooga
5.7%
94%
19
27
✓
Chattanooga −24.9
–
–
Final
Cornell@Columbia
87%
13%
24
0
✓
Cornell −18.6
–
–
Final
Dartmouth@Brown
33%
67%
28
24
✗
Brown −6.5
–
–
Final
Florida@Kentucky
69%
31%
17
15
✓
FLA −8.3
–
–
Final
#16Georgia@Auburn
67%
33%
31
21
✓
UGA −7.4
–
–
Final
Harvard@Pennsylvania
84%
16%
28
17
✓
Harvard −16.5
–
–
Final
Hawaii@UNLVUpset
17%
84%
24
19
✗
UNLV −15.1
–
–
Final
Illinois@Indiana
24%
76%
24
26
✓
IU −10.6
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Indiana State
43%
57%
28
33
✓
Indiana State −2.3
–
–
Final
Kansas@Colorado
77%
23%
42
3
✓
KU −12.4
–
–
Final
Utah State@Long Beach State
59%
41%
27
28
✗
USU −4.0
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@Louisiana
32%
68%
9
27
✓
UL −6.8
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Louisville
18%
82%
0
20
✓
LOU −13.9
–
–
Final
Clemson@Maryland
39%
61%
7
34
✓
MD −4.0
–
–
Final
Lamar@McNeese
7.7%
92%
3
35
✓
McNeese −22.4
–
–
Final
Miami (FL)@Vanderbilt
90%
9.7%
24
17
✓
MIA −21.2
–
–
Final
Kent State@Miami (OH)
7.4%
93%
14
49
✓
M-OH −22.7
–
–
Final
#19Purdue@#9Michigan
32%
68%
0
26
✓
MICH −7.0
–
–
Final
Michigan State@Minnesota
34%
66%
30
12
✗
MINN −5.9
–
–
Final
Tennessee@Ole Miss
62%
38%
9
20
✗
TENN −5.4
–
–
Final
LSU@Mississippi State
49%
51%
31
55
✓
LSU −0.2
–
–
Final
Navy@Georgia Tech
69%
31%
19
8
✓
NAVY −8.5
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Iowa State
93%
7.2%
35
0
✓
NEB −23.8
–
–
Final
Virginia@#15North Carolina
9.9%
90%
3
26
✓
UNC −20.1
–
–
Final
Duke@NC State
30%
70%
21
38
✓
NCSU −8.1
–
–
Final
Louisiana-Monroe@North Texas
20%
80%
18
26
✓
UNT −13.0
–
–
Final
#12Notre Dame@#3AlabamaUpset
23%
77%
7
0
✗
ALA −11.4
–
–
Final
#6Ohio State@Iowa
90%
9.8%
41
7
✓
OSU −21.1
–
–
Final
#17Missouri@#8Oklahoma
33%
67%
7
17
✓
OU −6.3
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Kansas State
50%
50%
10
0
✗
OKST −0.5
–
–
Final
#22Oregon@Oregon State
96%
3.7%
40
21
✓
ORE −29.0
–
–
Final
#10Penn State@Temple
85%
15%
50
7
✓
PSU −17.1
–
–
Final
#4Pittsburgh@Army
97%
2.9%
45
7
✓
PITT −30.7
–
–
Final
San Diego State@UTEP
57%
42%
28
7
✓
SDSU −3.5
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@San Jose State
15%
85%
21
33
✓
SJSU −15.8
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@#13South Carolina
15%
85%
38
39
✓
SC −15.9
–
–
Final
Richmond@#25Southern Miss
4.4%
96%
12
33
✓
USM −27.0
–
–
Final
#21Texas@TCU
85%
15%
51
26
✓
TEX −16.9
–
–
Final
#18SMU@Texas TechUpset
71%
29%
0
14
✗
SMU −9.3
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Texas-Arlington
44%
56%
14
36
✓
Texas-Arlington −1.7
–
–
Final
Toledo@Marshall
76%
24%
38
10
✓
TOL −11.7
–
–
Final
Memphis@Tulane
4.9%
95%
16
21
✓
TULN −26.1
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Southern Illinois
80%
20%
41
7
✓
TLSA −13.7
–
–
Final
#11UCLA@#23Arizona State
60%
40%
23
14
✓
UCLA −4.4
–
–
Final
Villanova@Holy Cross
77%
23%
45
13
✓
Villanova −12.2
–
–
Final
VMI@Virginia Tech
3.9%
96%
6
21
✓
VT −28.0
–
–
Final
#20Washington@#5USCUpset
21%
79%
20
10
✗
USC −12.5
–
–
Final
Washington State@California
48%
52%
31
17
✗
CAL −0.4
–
–
Final
West Virginia@Rutgers
33%
67%
24
15
✗
RUTG −6.6
–
–
Final
Wichita State@West Texas
37%
63%
20
18
✗
West Texas −4.7
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Northwestern
77%
23%
39
19
✓
WIS −12.4
–
–
Final
Princeton@Yale
18%
82%
13
25
✓
Yale −14.4
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 15 · TBD Davidson at The Citadel The Citadel −24.8 94%
Sat, Nov 15 · TBD Colgate at Bucknell Bucknell −1.6 55%
Sat, Nov 15 · TBD Eastern Kentucky at East Carolina East Carolina −17.9 87%
Sat, Nov 15 · TBD Montana State at Fresno State Fresno State −1.6 55%
Sat, Nov 15 · TBD Western Carolina at East Tennessee State Western Carolina −2.9 56%
Sat, Nov 15 · TBD Furman at Wofford Furman −27.2 95%