The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 10 slate, 1980

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 70 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos

Not yet ranked against the archive.

16 upsets against 18.1 expected

  • Biggest shockSan Jose State over Baylor5.7% chance · won 30-22
  • Runner-upArizona over UCLA7.3% chance · won 23-17
  • Runner-upMississippi State over Alabama9.0% chance · won 6-3

Upsets

Sat, Nov 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 64 games

Final
Western Carolina@Appalachian State
13%
87%
24
27
✓
APP −17.4
–
–
Final
#4UCLA@ArizonaUpset
93%
7.3%
17
23
✗
UCLA −23.6
–
–
Final
Boston College@Air Force
76%
24%
23
0
✓
BC −11.7
–
–
Final
Ball State@Bowling Green
46%
54%
21
24
✓
BGSU −1.1
–
–
Final
UTEP@#8BYU
0.8%
99%
7
83
✓
BYU −38.1
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Eastern Michigan
90%
10%
51
15
✓
CMU −20.8
–
–
Final
Clemson@Wake Forest
44%
56%
35
33
✗
WAKE −2.0
–
–
Final
Iowa State@ColoradoUpset
89%
11%
9
17
✗
ISU −19.8
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Colorado State
68%
32%
25
28
✗
WYO −7.8
–
–
Final
Wichita State@Drake
33%
67%
15
38
✓
Drake −6.4
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Duke
36%
64%
12
17
✓
DUKE −5.1
–
–
Final
William & Mary@East Carolina
11%
89%
23
31
✓
ECU −18.9
–
–
Final
Auburn@Florida
30%
70%
10
21
✓
FLA −8.1
–
–
Final
Tulsa@#3Florida State
3.5%
96%
2
45
✓
FSU −28.8
–
–
Final
Furman@Marshall
68%
32%
35
0
✓
Furman −7.8
–
–
Final
#15South Carolina@#16Georgia
44%
56%
10
13
✓
UGA −2.0
–
–
Final
Brown@Harvard
56%
44%
16
17
✗
Brown −2.9
–
–
Final
Cal State Fullerton@Hawaii
18%
82%
21
31
✓
HAW −14.0
–
–
Final
Holy Cross@Columbia
79%
21%
26
0
✓
Holy Cross −13.4
–
–
Final
TCU@Houston
12%
88%
5
37
✓
HOU −18.3
–
–
Final
West Texas@Indiana State
52%
48%
18
37
✗
West Texas −1.3
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Iowa
42%
58%
13
22
✓
IOWA −2.9
–
–
Final
Kansas@Kansas State
50%
50%
20
18
✓
KU −0.7
–
–
Final
Long Beach State@Fresno State
46%
54%
34
9
✗
FRES −1.2
–
–
Final
Southern Illinois@Louisiana
28%
72%
3
21
✓
UL −9.1
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@LSU
33%
67%
16
38
✓
LSU −6.4
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@Arkansas State
58%
42%
28
0
✓
LT −3.8
–
–
Final
NC State@Maryland
45%
55%
0
24
✓
MD −1.6
–
–
Final
Texas-Arlington@McNeese
12%
88%
17
31
✓
McNeese −18.5
–
–
Final
#18Michigan@Indiana
59%
41%
35
0
✓
MICH −4.2
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Illinois
66%
34%
21
18
✓
MINN −7.1
–
–
Final
#2Alabama@Mississippi StateUpset
91%
9.0%
3
6
✗
ALA −21.8
–
–
Final
#11Missouri@#1Nebraska
17%
83%
16
38
✓
NEB −14.6
–
–
Final
UNLV@New Mexico
66%
34%
72
7
✓
UNLV −7.0
–
–
Final
North Texas@New Mexico State
78%
22%
38
28
✓
UNT −12.7
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Kent State
59%
41%
35
14
✓
NIU −4.1
–
–
Final
Navy@#14Notre Dame
24%
76%
0
33
✓
ND −11.1
–
–
Final
#6Ohio State@Michigan State
87%
13%
48
16
✓
OSU −18.1
–
–
Final
#7North Carolina@#10Oklahoma
47%
53%
7
41
✓
OU −0.6
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Oklahoma State
26%
74%
6
15
✓
OKST −10.0
–
–
Final
Washington State@Oregon
18%
82%
10
20
✓
ORE −14.0
–
–
Final
Miami (FL)@#12Penn State
22%
78%
12
27
✓
PSU −11.8
–
–
Final
#5Pittsburgh@Syracuse
81%
19%
43
6
✓
PITT −14.3
–
–
Final
Pennsylvania@Princeton
15%
85%
21
28
✓
Princeton −16.2
–
–
Final
#22Purdue@Northwestern
97%
3.4%
52
31
✓
PUR −29.7
–
–
Final
Rice@#21ArkansasUpset
12%
88%
17
16
✗
ARK −18.7
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@Richmond
47%
53%
10
24
✓
Richmond −0.7
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Army
82%
18%
37
21
✓
RUTG −15.3
–
–
Final
San Jose State@#13BaylorUpset
5.7%
94%
30
22
✗
BAY −25.0
–
–
Final
California@#9USC
8.8%
91%
7
60
✓
USC −21.3
–
–
Final
Texas A&M@#20SMU
19%
81%
0
27
✓
SMU −13.5
–
–
Final
Lamar@#17Southern Miss
0.9%
99%
10
36
✓
USM −37.7
–
–
Final
Oregon State@#24Stanford
2.4%
98%
13
54
✓
STAN −31.4
–
–
Final
Temple@Louisville
51%
49%
17
12
✓
TEM −1.1
–
–
Final
#19Texas@Texas TechUpset
69%
31%
20
24
✗
TEX −8.5
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Toledo
67%
33%
14
17
✗
M-OH −7.6
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Tulane
17%
83%
22
24
✓
TULN −14.5
–
–
Final
Pacific@Utah State
12%
88%
7
21
✓
USU −18.1
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Memphis
41%
59%
14
10
✗
MEM −3.1
–
–
Final
Virginia@#25TennesseeUpset
16%
84%
16
13
✗
TENN −15.6
–
–
Final
West Virginia@Virginia Tech
43%
57%
11
34
✓
VT −2.2
–
–
Final
#23Arizona State@WashingtonUpset
46%
54%
0
25
✓
WASH −1.2
–
–
Final
Ohio@Western Michigan
41%
59%
7
13
✓
WMU −3.1
–
–
Final
Yale@Dartmouth
68%
32%
35
7
✓
Yale −8.1
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 1 · TBD VMI at Boston University VMI −4.9 61%
Sat, Nov 1 · TBD Cornell at Bucknell Bucknell −6.8 68%
Sat, Nov 1 · TBD Lafayette at Colgate Colgate −20.1 90%
Sat, Nov 1 · TBD Villanova at Delaware Delaware −15.7 84%
Sat, Nov 1 · TBD Louisiana-Monroe at Nicholls Louisiana-Monroe −17.6 86%
Sat, Nov 1 · TBD Illinois State at Western Illinois Illinois State −11.0 75%