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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 15 slate, 1997

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 12 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 87

Wilder than 87% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 2.9 expected

  • Biggest shockArizona over Arizona State15% chance · won 28-16
  • Runner-upPittsburgh over West Virginia17% chance · won 41-38
  • Runner-upOle Miss over Mississippi State44% chance · won 15-14

Upsets

Fri, Nov 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 5 games

Final
Arizona@#13Arizona StateUpset
15%
85%
28
16
✗
ASU −16.3
–
–
Final
Arkansas@#18LSU
7.8%
92%
21
31
✓
LSU −22.3
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Colorado
85%
15%
27
24
✓
NEB −17.3
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@West VirginiaUpset
17%
83%
41
38
✗
WVU −14.6
–
–
Final
Texas@#15Texas A&M
9.0%
91%
16
27
✓
TA&M −21.0
–
–

Sat, Nov 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 7 games

Final
#19Georgia@Georgia Tech
59%
41%
27
24
✓
UGA −4.2
–
–
Final
#10Penn State@#21Michigan State
53%
47%
14
49
✗
PSU −1.9
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Mississippi State
44%
56%
15
14
✗
MSST −2.0
–
–
Final
#22Notre Dame@Hawaii
95%
5.2%
23
22
✓
ND −26.4
–
–
Final
#14Syracuse@Miami (FL)
57%
43%
33
13
✓
SYR −3.5
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#5Tennessee
1.4%
99%
10
17
✓
TENN −35.2
–
–
Final
#23Virginia Tech@VirginiaUpset
54%
46%
20
34
✗
VT −2.0
–
–