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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 12 slate, 1997

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 48 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 29

Wilder than 29% of weeks in the archive.

5 upsets against 9.7 expected

  • Biggest shockOregon over Washington5.5% chance · won 31-28
  • Runner-upArkansas State over Missouri State20% chance · won 35-27
  • Runner-upBall State over Toledo21% chance · won 35-3

Upsets

Thu, Nov 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Arkansas@Ole Miss
19%
81%
9
19
✓
MISS −13.5
–
–

Sat, Nov 8

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 46 games

Final
Army@Air Force
13%
87%
0
24
✓
AF −17.5
–
–
Final
Kent State@Akron
32%
68%
35
45
✓
AKR −7.0
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Arizona
19%
81%
7
27
✓
ARIZ −13.7
–
–
Final
#14Arizona State@California
80%
20%
28
21
✓
ASU −13.7
–
–
Final
Toledo@Ball StateUpset
79%
21%
3
35
✗
TOL −13.3
–
–
Final
Tulsa@BYU
9.0%
91%
39
49
✓
BYU −21.0
–
–
Final
Louisville@Cincinnati
9.3%
91%
9
28
✓
CIN −20.7
–
–
Final
Duke@Clemson
10%
90%
20
29
✓
CLEM −19.8
–
–
Final
#23Colorado@Iowa State
91%
8.7%
43
38
✓
COLO −22.2
–
–
Final
Fresno State@#21Colorado State
11%
89%
3
41
✓
CSU −19.1
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Houston
59%
41%
28
27
✓
ECU −4.2
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Northern Illinois
74%
26%
38
10
✓
EMU −10.6
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@#5Florida
1.2%
99%
7
20
✓
FLA −35.9
–
–
Final
#2Florida State@#12North Carolina
63%
37%
20
3
✓
FSU −5.7
–
–
Final
Kansas@#9Kansas State
4.2%
96%
16
48
✓
KSU −27.3
–
–
Final
#16LSU@Alabama
57%
43%
27
0
✓
LSU −3.2
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@UAB
58%
42%
32
29
✓
LT −3.7
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Marshall
16%
84%
0
28
✓
MRSH −15.4
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Ohio
44%
56%
45
21
✗
OHIO −2.0
–
–
Final
#7Michigan@#13Penn State
51%
49%
34
8
✓
MICH −0.7
–
–
Final
Temple@Navy
13%
87%
17
49
✓
NAVY −17.5
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Missouri
93%
6.7%
45
38
✓
NEB −24.3
–
–
Final
Nevada@Boise State
83%
17%
56
42
✓
NEV −15.6
–
–
Final
Maryland@NC State
9.9%
90%
28
45
✓
NCSU −20.2
–
–
Final
North Texas@New Mexico State
52%
48%
26
15
✓
UNT −1.4
–
–
Final
Northwestern@Illinois
82%
18%
34
21
✓
NU −15.0
–
–
Final
#3Ohio State@Minnesota
95%
5.2%
31
3
✓
OSU −26.4
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Oklahoma
69%
31%
30
7
✓
OKST −8.5
–
–
Final
Oregon@#4WashingtonUpset
5.5%
94%
31
28
✗
WASH −25.2
–
–
Final
#17Michigan State@#25Purdue
50%
50%
21
22
✓
MSU −0.3
–
–
Final
TCU@Rice
6.7%
93%
19
38
✓
RICE −23.7
–
–
Final
San Jose State@San Diego State
8.2%
92%
21
48
✓
SDSU −21.8
–
–
Final
Stanford@USC
34%
66%
21
45
✓
USC −5.9
–
–
Final
UTEP@SMU
9.6%
90%
14
28
✓
SMU −20.5
–
–
Final
Boston College@#11Syracuse
3.0%
97%
13
20
✓
SYR −29.9
–
–
Final
#24Southern Miss@#6Tennessee
13%
87%
20
44
✓
TENN −17.6
–
–
Final
Baylor@#19Texas A&M
5.7%
94%
10
38
✓
TA&M −24.9
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Texas
54%
46%
24
10
✓
TTU −2.0
–
–
Final
Memphis@Tulane
18%
82%
14
26
✓
TULN −14.2
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Virginia
40%
60%
31
35
✓
UVA −3.6
–
–
Final
Miami (FL)@#18Virginia Tech
28%
72%
25
27
✓
VT −8.9
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Rutgers
86%
14%
28
14
✓
WAKE −17.8
–
–
Final
Louisiana@#22Washington State
0.4%
>99%
7
77
✓
WSU −42.5
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Western Michigan
13%
87%
24
38
✓
WMU −17.8
–
–
Final
#10Iowa@WisconsinUpset
76%
24%
10
13
✗
IOWA −11.7
–
–
Final
UNLV@Wyoming
5.6%
94%
23
35
✓
WYO −25.0
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 8 · TBD Missouri State at Arkansas State Missouri State −14.1 80%