The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 13 slate, 1997

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 51 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 25

Wilder than 25% of weeks in the archive.

11 upsets against 12.8 expected

  • Biggest shockNotre Dame over LSU23% chance · won 24-6
  • Runner-upNorthwestern over Iowa24% chance · won 15-14
  • Runner-upOle Miss over Tulane30% chance · won 41-24

Upsets

Thu, Nov 13

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Cincinnati@East Carolina
52%
48%
7
14
✗
CIN −1.4
–
–

Sat, Nov 15

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 48 games

Final
Wyoming@Air Force
49%
51%
3
14
✓
WYO −0.1
–
–
Final
California@Arizona
27%
73%
38
41
✓
ARIZ −9.1
–
–
Final
Oregon@#13Arizona State
19%
81%
31
52
✓
ASU −13.8
–
–
Final
North Texas@Army
22%
78%
14
25
✓
ARMY −11.7
–
–
Final
#21Auburn@#15Georgia
32%
68%
45
34
✗
UGA −6.8
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@UCF
21%
79%
10
27
✓
UCF −12.4
–
–
Final
#6Florida@South Carolina
78%
22%
48
21
✓
FLA −12.8
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@#2Florida State
1.3%
99%
7
58
✓
FSU −35.4
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Duke
75%
25%
41
38
✓
GT −11.1
–
–
Final
Idaho@New Mexico State
63%
37%
35
18
✓
Idaho −5.7
–
–
Final
#24Colorado@#8Kansas State
20%
80%
20
37
✓
KSU −12.9
–
–
Final
Kentucky@Vanderbilt
54%
46%
21
10
✓
UK −2.1
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@Louisiana
89%
11%
63
24
✓
LT −19.7
–
–
Final
Ohio@Marshall
46%
54%
0
27
✓
MRSH −1.0
–
–
Final
Louisville@Memphis
15%
85%
20
21
✓
MEM −16.2
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Miami (FL)
1.0%
99%
23
51
✓
MIA −37.3
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@#23Miami (OH)
0.5%
>99%
0
42
✓
M-OH −41.6
–
–
Final
#5Michigan@Wisconsin
83%
17%
26
16
✓
MICH −15.9
–
–
Final
Indiana@Minnesota
30%
70%
12
24
✓
MINN −7.8
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@Tulane
30%
70%
41
24
✗
TULN −8.0
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Alabama
36%
64%
32
20
✗
ALA −5.4
–
–
Final
Baylor@Missouri
13%
87%
24
42
✓
MIZ −17.9
–
–
Final
Iowa State@#1Nebraska
0.1%
>99%
14
77
✓
NEB −48.0
–
–
Final
BYU@New Mexico
39%
61%
28
38
✓
UNM −3.9
–
–
Final
#14North Carolina@Clemson
66%
34%
17
10
✓
UNC −7.1
–
–
Final
Virginia@NC State
44%
56%
24
31
✓
NCSU −1.9
–
–
Final
#10Iowa@NorthwesternUpset
76%
24%
14
15
✗
IOWA −11.9
–
–
Final
Notre Dame@#12LSUUpset
23%
77%
24
6
✗
LSU −11.3
–
–
Final
Illinois@#3Ohio State
0.2%
>99%
6
41
✓
OSU −47.5
–
–
Final
#16Penn State@#25Purdue
52%
48%
42
17
✓
PSU −1.1
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Fresno State
43%
57%
20
19
✗
FRES −2.3
–
–
Final
Hawaii@San Jose State
57%
42%
14
38
✗
HAW −3.5
–
–
Final
USC@Oregon State
74%
26%
23
0
✓
USC −10.7
–
–
Final
SMU@Tulsa
69%
31%
42
41
✓
SMU −8.4
–
–
Final
Houston@Southern Miss
7.4%
93%
0
33
✓
USM −22.8
–
–
Final
#11Syracuse@Pittsburgh
86%
14%
32
27
✓
SYR −17.6
–
–
Final
#4Tennessee@Arkansas
96%
4.3%
30
22
✓
TENN −27.9
–
–
Final
Kansas@Texas
34%
66%
31
45
✓
TEX −6.1
–
–
Final
#18Texas A&M@Oklahoma
84%
16%
51
7
✓
TA&M −16.1
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Oklahoma State
31%
69%
27
3
✗
OKST −7.4
–
–
Final
TCU@UTEP
38%
62%
17
24
✓
UTEP −4.4
–
–
Final
Akron@Toledo
6.7%
93%
10
42
✓
TOL −23.6
–
–
Final
#7Washington@#9UCLA
49%
51%
28
52
✓
WASH −0.3
–
–
Final
Rice@Utah
51%
49%
14
31
✗
RICE −0.9
–
–
Final
Utah State@Nevada
33%
67%
38
19
✗
NEV −6.7
–
–
Final
Stanford@#22Washington State
17%
83%
28
38
✓
WSU −14.6
–
–
Final
Temple@West Virginia
5.2%
95%
21
41
✓
WVU −25.7
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Louisiana-Monroe
66%
34%
32
19
✓
WMU −7.0
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 15 · TBD Tennessee Tech at UAB UAB −14.4 82%
Sat, Nov 15 · TBD Colgate at Navy Navy −34.6 98%