The MRI
2026 · Week 11

Bowls slate, 1997

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 24 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 0

Wilder than 0% of weeks in the archive.

2 upsets against 8.5 expected

  • Biggest shockArizona State over Iowa44% chance · won 17-7
  • Runner-upGeorgia Tech over West Virginia49% chance · won 35-30
  • Runner-upOregon over Air Force54% chance · won 41-13

Fri, Dec 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
45%
55%
14
34
✓
MRSH −1.3
–
–

Sat, Dec 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
26%
74%
13
41
✓
CSU −9.6
–
–
Final
18%
82%
15
54
✓
NEB −14.5
–
–
Final
27%
73%
29
30
✓
TENN −9.3
–
–

Sat, Dec 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
46%
54%
13
41
✓
ORE −1.0
–
–

Thu, Dec 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
38%
62%
23
51
✓
WASH −4.4
–
–

Fri, Dec 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
44%
56%
31
34
✓
MISS −1.9
–
–

Sat, Dec 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
44%
56%
14
20
✓
ARIZ −1.8
–
–

Sun, Dec 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
41%
59%
9
27
✓
LSU −3.1
–
–

Mon, Dec 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
44%
56%
19
35
✓
CIN −2.1
–
–
Final
27%
73%
24
35
✓
CSU −9.3
–
–
Final
52%
48%
30
35
✗
WVU −1.1
–
–

Tue, Dec 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
41%
59%
20
33
✓
PUR −3.2
–
–

Wed, Dec 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final
56%
44%
7
17
✗
IOWA −2.7
–
–
Final
42%
58%
18
35
✓
KSU −2.9
–
–
Final
21%
79%
7
41
✓
USM −12.3
–
–

Thu, Jan 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 6 games

Final
27%
73%
6
21
✓
FLA −9.2
–
–
Final
40%
60%
14
31
✓
FSU −3.7
–
–
Final
25%
75%
6
33
✓
UGA −10.3
–
–
Final
25%
75%
16
21
✓
MICH −10.1
–
–
Final
31%
70%
3
42
✓
UNC −7.6
–
–
Final
34%
66%
23
29
✓
UCLA −6.0
–
–

Fri, Jan 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final
35%
65%
17
21
✓
AUB −5.7
–
–
Final
33%
67%
17
42
✓
NEB −6.7
–
–