The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 14 slate, 1997

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 39 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 91

Wilder than 91% of weeks in the archive.

13 upsets against 9.0 expected

  • Biggest shockOklahoma over Texas Tech9.9% chance · won 32-21
  • Runner-upNorth Texas over Utah State17% chance · won 51-48
  • Runner-upTCU over SMU21% chance · won 21-18

Upsets

Thu, Nov 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
SMU@TCUUpset
79%
21%
18
21
✗
SMU −13.3
–
–

Sat, Nov 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 38 games

Final
UAB@Arkansas State
75%
25%
13
7
✓
UAB −11.2
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Arkansas
65%
35%
7
17
✗
MSST −6.7
–
–
Final
Alabama@#16Auburn
17%
83%
17
18
✓
AUB −14.7
–
–
Final
Boise State@Idaho
32%
68%
30
23
✗
Idaho −7.0
–
–
Final
Army@Boston College
29%
71%
20
24
✓
BC −8.3
–
–
Final
Toledo@UCF
47%
53%
17
34
✓
UCF −0.8
–
–
Final
Clemson@South Carolina
38%
62%
47
21
✗
SC −4.2
–
–
Final
#20Colorado State@San Diego State
77%
23%
38
17
✓
CSU −12.5
–
–
Final
#2Florida State@#4Florida
51%
49%
29
32
✗
FSU −0.8
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Fresno State
68%
32%
7
24
✗
WYO −7.8
–
–
Final
#18Georgia@Ole Miss
62%
38%
21
14
✓
UGA −5.2
–
–
Final
Maryland@Georgia Tech
8.1%
92%
18
37
✓
GT −22.0
–
–
Final
Minnesota@#12Iowa
6.1%
94%
0
31
✓
IOWA −24.4
–
–
Final
#9Kansas State@Iowa State
97%
3.1%
28
3
✓
KSU −30.3
–
–
Final
Louisiana-Monroe@Hawaii
38%
62%
23
20
✗
HAW −4.3
–
–
Final
#3Ohio State@#5Michigan
45%
55%
14
20
✓
MICH −1.7
–
–
Final
#19Michigan State@Illinois
95%
5.3%
27
17
✓
MSU −26.2
–
–
Final
Kent State@Navy
3.1%
97%
29
62
✓
NAVY −29.5
–
–
Final
Tulsa@New Mexico
10%
90%
13
51
✓
UNM −19.9
–
–
Final
Duke@#13North Carolina
3.4%
97%
14
50
✓
UNC −28.9
–
–
Final
East Carolina@NC State
25%
75%
24
37
✓
NCSU −10.4
–
–
Final
Utah State@North TexasUpset
83%
17%
48
51
✗
USU −15.7
–
–
Final
West Virginia@#23Notre Dame
34%
66%
14
21
✓
ND −6.2
–
–
Final
Oklahoma@Texas TechUpset
9.9%
90%
32
21
✗
TTU −20.1
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Baylor
76%
24%
24
14
✓
OKST −11.8
–
–
Final
Oregon State@Oregon
14%
86%
30
48
✓
ORE −17.2
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@#10Penn State
15%
86%
10
35
✓
PSU −16.5
–
–
Final
#21Virginia Tech@PittsburghUpset
78%
22%
23
30
✗
VT −13.0
–
–
Final
Purdue@Indiana
78%
22%
56
7
✓
PUR −12.6
–
–
Final
UTEP@Rice
9.1%
91%
13
31
✓
RICE −20.9
–
–
Final
San Jose State@UNLVUpset
21%
79%
55
48
✗
UNLV −12.2
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Memphis
72%
28%
42
18
✓
USM −9.9
–
–
Final
California@Stanford
34%
66%
20
21
✓
STAN −6.1
–
–
Final
#6Tennessee@Kentucky
88%
12%
59
31
✓
TENN −19.1
–
–
Final
Tulane@Houston
77%
23%
44
10
✓
TULN −12.2
–
–
Final
#8UCLA@USC
69%
31%
31
24
✓
UCLA −8.2
–
–
Final
Utah@BYU
33%
67%
20
14
✗
BYU −6.4
–
–
Final
#22Washington State@#7WashingtonUpset
21%
79%
41
35
✗
WASH −12.3
–
–