The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 8 slate, 1997

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 24

Wilder than 24% of weeks in the archive.

9 upsets against 12.5 expected

  • Biggest shockUTEP over Tulsa21% chance · won 33-18
  • Runner-upLSU over Florida22% chance · won 28-21
  • Runner-upHawaii over Fresno State27% chance · won 28-16

Upsets

Thu, Oct 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#17Syracuse@Rutgers
98%
2.0%
50
3
✓
SYR −33.3
–
–

Sat, Oct 11

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 48 games

Final
Air Force@Navy
50%
50%
10
7
✓
AF −0.6
–
–
Final
Stanford@Arizona
46%
54%
22
28
✓
ARIZ −0.9
–
–
Final
USC@#19Arizona State
30%
70%
7
35
✓
ASU −8.0
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@#13Auburn
7.3%
93%
13
49
✓
AUB −22.9
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@Boise State
45%
55%
10
52
✓
BOIS −1.6
–
–
Final
UAB@Cincinnati
12%
88%
29
33
✓
CIN −18.0
–
–
Final
Colorado State@San Jose State
93%
6.9%
55
20
✓
CSU −24.2
–
–
Final
Ball State@Eastern Michigan
46%
54%
32
38
✓
EMU −1.2
–
–
Final
#3Florida State@Duke
98%
2.2%
51
27
✓
FSU −32.6
–
–
Final
NC State@Georgia Tech
34%
66%
17
27
✓
GT −5.9
–
–
Final
Fresno State@Hawaii
73%
27%
16
28
✗
FRES −10.1
–
–
Final
Missouri@#16Kansas State
15%
86%
11
41
✓
KSU −16.5
–
–
Final
#1Florida@#18LSUUpset
78%
22%
21
28
✗
FLA −12.9
–
–
Final
Akron@Marshall
22%
78%
17
52
✓
MRSH −11.8
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Memphis
5.7%
94%
9
38
✓
MEM −25.0
–
–
Final
#24Miami (OH)@Kent State
97%
3.0%
62
26
✓
M-OH −30.6
–
–
Final
Northwestern@#6Michigan
7.1%
93%
6
23
✓
MICH −23.1
–
–
Final
#11Michigan State@Indiana
87%
13%
38
6
✓
MSU −18.4
–
–
Final
Louisiana-Monroe@Mississippi State
8.6%
91%
10
24
✓
MSST −21.5
–
–
Final
#2Nebraska@Baylor
99%
1.4%
49
21
✓
NEB −35.6
–
–
Final
TCU@UNLV
36%
64%
19
21
✓
UNLV −5.0
–
–
Final
New Mexico@San Diego State
41%
59%
36
21
✗
SDSU −3.2
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@#9North Carolina
3.5%
96%
12
30
✓
UNC −28.8
–
–
Final
Notre Dame@Pittsburgh
55%
44%
45
21
✓
ND −2.7
–
–
Final
#23Colorado@Oklahoma StateUpset
44%
56%
29
33
✓
OKST −2.0
–
–
Final
Utah State@Oregon State
38%
62%
16
24
✓
ORST −4.2
–
–
Final
#4Ohio State@#5Penn State
42%
58%
27
31
✓
PSU −2.6
–
–
Final
Purdue@Minnesota
60%
40%
59
43
✓
PUR −4.6
–
–
Final
BYU@Rice
57%
43%
14
27
✗
BYU −3.2
–
–
Final
Kentucky@South Carolina
48%
52%
24
38
✓
SC −0.3
–
–
Final
SMU@Utah
27%
73%
20
19
✗
UTAH −9.1
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@East Carolina
76%
24%
23
13
✓
USM −11.5
–
–
Final
#20Georgia@#7Tennessee
22%
78%
13
38
✓
TENN −11.7
–
–
Final
Oklahoma@Texas
33%
67%
24
27
✓
TEX −6.6
–
–
Final
Iowa State@#12Texas A&M
1.1%
99%
17
56
✓
TA&M −36.4
–
–
Final
Kansas@Texas Tech
29%
71%
7
17
✓
TTU −8.5
–
–
Final
UTEP@TulsaUpset
21%
79%
33
18
✗
TLSA −12.4
–
–
Final
Toledo@Central Michigan
78%
22%
41
10
✓
TOL −12.6
–
–
Final
Tulane@Louisville
69%
31%
64
33
✓
TULN −8.4
–
–
Final
#10UCLA@Oregon
77%
23%
39
31
✓
UCLA −12.2
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@Northern Illinois
92%
8.5%
17
7
✓
VAN −22.3
–
–
Final
Virginia@Clemson
32%
68%
21
7
✗
CLEM −6.7
–
–
Final
Boston College@#14Virginia Tech
4.0%
96%
7
17
✓
VT −27.7
–
–
Final
#8Washington@California
81%
19%
30
3
✓
WASH −14.6
–
–
Final
West Virginia@Maryland
75%
25%
31
14
✓
WVU −11.2
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Bowling Green
33%
67%
34
21
✗
BGSU −6.5
–
–
Final
Illinois@Wisconsin
9.8%
90%
7
31
✓
WIS −20.3
–
–
Final
Wyoming@Nevada
71%
29%
34
30
✓
WYO −9.5
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 11 · TBD Samford at UCF UCF −32.2 98%
Sat, Oct 11 · TBD UC Davis at Idaho Idaho −13.0 80%
Sat, Oct 11 · TBD North Alabama at Louisiana Louisiana −2.6 58%