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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 2 slate, 1997

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 33 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3

Chaos 53

Wilder than 53% of weeks in the archive.

6 upsets against 8.2 expected

  • Biggest shockNC State over Syracuse5.7% chance · won 32-31
  • Runner-upCal State Northridge over Boise State19% chance · won 63-23
  • Runner-upHawaii over Minnesota26% chance · won 17-3

Upsets

Thu, Aug 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 6 games

Final
Northern Illinois@Central Michigan
19%
81%
10
44
✓
CMU −13.2
–
–
Final
Tulsa@Cincinnati
30%
70%
24
34
✓
CIN −7.7
–
–
Final
UAB@Kansas
20%
80%
0
24
✓
KU −12.3
–
–
Final
Kent State@Ohio
17%
83%
7
31
✓
OHIO −14.0
–
–
Final
Wyoming@#4Ohio State
18%
82%
10
24
✓
OSU −13.8
–
–
Final
Temple@Western Michigan
45%
55%
14
34
✓
WMU −1.3
–
–

Sat, Aug 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 23 games

Final
Idaho@Air Force
7.7%
92%
10
14
✓
AF −21.7
–
–
Final
Houston@#21Alabama
27%
73%
17
42
✓
ALA −9.0
–
–
Final
New Mexico State@#7Arizona State
4.3%
96%
10
41
✓
ASU −26.5
–
–
Final
Nevada@Colorado State
44%
56%
13
45
✓
CSU −1.8
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@#3Florida
16%
84%
6
21
✓
FLA −15.0
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Georgia
20%
80%
7
38
✓
UGA −12.8
–
–
Final
Minnesota@Hawaii
74%
26%
3
17
✗
MINN −10.4
–
–
Final
Louisville@Kentucky
50%
50%
24
38
✗
LOU −0.6
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Louisiana Tech
36%
64%
23
30
✓
LT −5.0
–
–
Final
#6Miami (FL)@Baylor
72%
28%
45
14
✓
MIA −9.5
–
–
Final
Ball State@Miami (OH)
37%
63%
10
27
✓
M-OH −4.6
–
–
Final
UCF@Ole Miss
38%
62%
23
24
✓
MISS −4.3
–
–
Final
Memphis@Mississippi State
36%
64%
10
13
✓
MSST −5.1
–
–
Final
Akron@#2Nebraska
3.4%
97%
14
59
✓
NEB −28.1
–
–
Final
NC State@#1SyracuseUpset
5.7%
94%
32
31
✗
SYR −24.2
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@Iowa State
39%
61%
21
14
✗
ISU −3.7
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Pittsburgh
44%
56%
13
45
✓
PITT −1.9
–
–
Final
#22Texas Tech@#10Tennessee
31%
68%
17
52
✓
TENN −6.9
–
–
Final
Utah State@Utah
32%
68%
21
14
✗
UTAH −6.8
–
–
Final
North Texas@Vanderbilt
27%
73%
12
29
✓
VAN −8.9
–
–
Final
#14Virginia Tech@Rutgers
77%
23%
59
19
✓
VT −11.8
–
–
Final
UCLA@Washington State
48%
52%
34
37
✓
WSU −0.2
–
–
Final
Marshall@West Virginia
7.4%
93%
31
42
✓
WVU −22.1
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Aug 30 · TBD Cal State Northridge at Boise State Boise State −13.0 81%
Sat, Aug 30 · TBD Portland State at Fresno State Fresno State −24.9 95%
Sat, Aug 30 · TBD Nicholls at Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe −17.3 87%
Sat, Aug 30 · TBD Northern Arizona at New Mexico New Mexico −31.2 98%