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FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 10 slate, 1997

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 49 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 41

Wilder than 41% of weeks in the archive.

12 upsets against 12.5 expected

  • Biggest shockSan Jose State over Air Force6.2% chance · won 25-22
  • Runner-upCincinnati over Miami (OH)22% chance · won 34-31
  • Runner-upMissouri over Oklahoma State24% chance · won 51-50

Upsets

Sat, Oct 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 47 games

Final
Alabama@Ole Miss
51%
49%
29
20
✓
ALA −0.9
–
–
Final
#13Auburn@Arkansas
92%
8.4%
26
21
✓
AUB −22.5
–
–
Final
Ball State@Northern Illinois
78%
22%
21
14
✓
BALL −12.5
–
–
Final
TCU@BYU
6.1%
94%
10
31
✓
BYU −24.4
–
–
Final
Cincinnati@#24Miami (OH)Upset
22%
78%
34
31
✗
M-OH −12.1
–
–
Final
Clemson@Maryland
70%
30%
20
9
✓
CLEM −8.9
–
–
Final
#21Colorado@Texas
68%
32%
47
30
✓
COLO −7.7
–
–
Final
Memphis@East Carolina
51%
49%
10
32
✗
MEM −1.0
–
–
Final
#3Florida State@Virginia
88%
12%
47
21
✓
FSU −19.6
–
–
Final
UNLV@Fresno State
32%
68%
28
46
✓
FRES −7.0
–
–
Final
Kentucky@#20Georgia
19%
81%
13
23
✓
UGA −13.5
–
–
Final
Houston@Louisville
43%
57%
36
22
✗
LOU −2.5
–
–
Final
Indiana@#16Iowa
4.9%
95%
0
62
✓
IOWA −26.1
–
–
Final
Baylor@Iowa State
62%
38%
17
24
✗
BAY −5.2
–
–
Final
#11Kansas State@Oklahoma
86%
14%
26
7
✓
KSU −17.4
–
–
Final
Central Michigan@Kent State
62%
38%
37
60
✗
CMU −5.2
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@Boise State
76%
24%
31
27
✓
LT −11.9
–
–
Final
Louisiana-Monroe@Louisiana
50%
50%
28
21
✗
ULM −0.4
–
–
Final
Eastern Michigan@Marshall
26%
74%
25
48
✓
MRSH −9.6
–
–
Final
Temple@Miami (FL)
7.1%
93%
15
47
✓
MIA −23.1
–
–
Final
#7Michigan@#12Michigan State
47%
53%
23
7
✗
MSU −0.9
–
–
Final
UCF@Mississippi State
48%
52%
28
35
✓
MSST −0.3
–
–
Final
Missouri@Oklahoma StateUpset
24%
76%
51
50
✗
OKST −11.0
–
–
Final
#1Nebraska@Kansas
97%
3.2%
35
0
✓
NEB −30.2
–
–
Final
North Texas@Nevada
12%
88%
10
65
✓
NEV −18.5
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@New Mexico State
44%
56%
20
34
✓
NMSU −2.1
–
–
Final
Boston College@Notre Dame
13%
87%
20
52
✓
ND −17.3
–
–
Final
#23Ohio@Akron
94%
5.5%
21
17
✓
OHIO −26.0
–
–
Final
Northwestern@#6Ohio State
7.6%
92%
6
49
✓
OSU −22.5
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Rutgers
82%
18%
55
48
✓
PITT −15.1
–
–
Final
Purdue@Illinois
87%
13%
48
3
✓
PUR −18.2
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Hawaii
72%
28%
10
3
✓
SDSU −10.0
–
–
Final
Air Force@San Jose StateUpset
94%
6.2%
22
25
✗
AF −25.1
–
–
Final
Vanderbilt@South Carolina
20%
80%
3
35
✓
SC −13.2
–
–
Final
Oregon@USC
32%
68%
22
24
✓
USC −6.8
–
–
Final
Wyoming@SMU
69%
31%
17
22
✗
WYO −8.3
–
–
Final
Tulane@Southern Miss
40%
60%
13
34
✓
USM −3.6
–
–
Final
#18Texas A&M@Texas TechUpset
65%
35%
13
16
✗
TA&M −6.6
–
–
Final
Toledo@Bowling Green
76%
24%
35
20
✓
TOL −11.5
–
–
Final
California@#10UCLA
6.5%
94%
17
35
✓
UCLA −23.8
–
–
Final
New Mexico@Utah
49%
51%
10
15
✓
UNM −0.1
–
–
Final
Utah State@Idaho
62%
38%
63
17
✓
USU −5.2
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Duke
53%
46%
38
24
✓
WAKE −1.9
–
–
Final
#5Washington@Oregon State
93%
7.0%
45
17
✓
WASH −24.0
–
–
Final
Arizona@#19Washington State
18%
82%
34
35
✓
WSU −14.1
–
–
Final
#17Virginia Tech@West VirginiaUpset
54%
46%
17
30
✗
VT −2.0
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Minnesota
59%
41%
22
21
✓
WIS −4.2
–
–

Sun, Oct 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Tulsa@#25Colorado State
3.6%
96%
8
44
✓
CSU −28.6
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 25 · TBD Colgate at Army Army −15.7 84%