The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 11 slate, 1997

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 86

Wilder than 86% of weeks in the archive.

12 upsets against 11.9 expected

  • Biggest shockUTEP over BYU7.2% chance · won 14-3
  • Runner-upMississippi State over Auburn9.1% chance · won 20-0
  • Runner-upLouisiana Tech over Alabama11% chance · won 26-20

Upsets

Thu, Oct 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
#9North Carolina@Georgia Tech
71%
29%
16
13
✓
UNC −9.5
–
–

Sat, Nov 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 50 games

Final
Air Force@Hawaii
84%
16%
34
27
✓
AF −16.2
–
–
Final
#21Washington State@#13Arizona State
28%
72%
31
44
✓
ASU −8.7
–
–
Final
Akron@Ball State
26%
74%
14
31
✓
BALL −9.5
–
–
Final
Texas@Baylor
61%
39%
21
23
✗
TEX −4.8
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Boston College
48%
52%
21
22
✓
BC −0.4
–
–
Final
Oregon State@California
34%
66%
14
33
✓
CAL −6.1
–
–
Final
Clemson@Wake Forest
53%
47%
33
16
✓
CLEM −1.8
–
–
Final
#23Colorado State@UNLV
88%
12%
45
19
✓
CSU −19.3
–
–
Final
East Carolina@Louisville
64%
36%
45
31
✓
ECU −6.1
–
–
Final
NC State@#3Florida State
3.0%
97%
35
48
✓
FSU −29.7
–
–
Final
Fresno State@San Jose State
72%
28%
53
12
✓
FRES −10.0
–
–
Final
#2Florida@#20GeorgiaUpset
77%
23%
17
37
✗
FLA −12.3
–
–
Final
Illinois@Indiana
25%
75%
6
23
✓
IU −10.2
–
–
Final
#25Purdue@#12Iowa
24%
76%
17
35
✓
IOWA −10.7
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Kansas
16%
84%
24
34
✓
KU −15.5
–
–
Final
#8Kansas State@Texas Tech
72%
28%
13
2
✓
KSU −10.0
–
–
Final
Bowling Green@Kent State
69%
31%
20
29
✗
BGSU −8.4
–
–
Final
#22LSU@Kentucky
62%
38%
63
28
✓
LSU −5.2
–
–
Final
Louisiana Tech@AlabamaUpset
11%
89%
26
20
✗
ALA −19.5
–
–
Final
UCF@Louisiana-MonroeUpset
85%
15%
41
45
✗
UCF −16.8
–
–
Final
Marshall@Central Michigan
80%
20%
45
17
✓
MRSH −14.0
–
–
Final
Houston@Memphis
30%
70%
3
24
✓
MEM −7.7
–
–
Final
Arkansas State@Miami (FL)
0.5%
>99%
10
42
✓
MIA −40.7
–
–
Final
Minnesota@#7Michigan
2.9%
97%
3
24
✓
MICH −30.0
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@#15AuburnUpset
9.1%
91%
20
0
✗
AUB −20.9
–
–
Final
Missouri@#18ColoradoUpset
15%
85%
41
31
✗
COLO −15.8
–
–
Final
Oklahoma@#1Nebraska
0.7%
99%
7
69
✓
NEB −39.0
–
–
Final
Nevada@New Mexico State
91%
8.7%
45
24
✓
NEV −22.2
–
–
Final
New Mexico@TCU
78%
22%
40
10
✓
UNM −13.0
–
–
Final
Navy@Notre Dame
22%
78%
17
21
✓
ND −11.6
–
–
Final
Ohio@Northern Illinois
98%
2.2%
35
30
✓
OHIO −32.7
–
–
Final
#5Ohio State@#16Michigan State
61%
39%
37
13
✓
OSU −4.9
–
–
Final
#11Penn State@Northwestern
78%
22%
30
27
✓
PSU −12.5
–
–
Final
Rice@SMU
56%
44%
6
24
✗
RICE −2.9
–
–
Final
Southern Miss@Cincinnati
58%
42%
24
17
✓
USM −3.7
–
–
Final
#24West Virginia@#14Syracuse
28%
72%
10
40
✓
SYR −8.9
–
–
Final
Rutgers@Temple
21%
79%
7
49
✓
TEM −12.4
–
–
Final
South Carolina@#6Tennessee
8.5%
92%
7
22
✓
TENN −21.6
–
–
Final
Oklahoma State@#17Texas A&M
25%
75%
25
28
✓
TA&M −10.3
–
–
Final
BYU@UTEPUpset
93%
7.2%
3
14
✗
BYU −23.8
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@Toledo
48%
52%
28
35
✓
TOL −0.3
–
–
Final
Tulane@Louisiana
95%
4.6%
56
0
✓
TULN −27.4
–
–
Final
Utah@Tulsa
74%
26%
13
21
✗
UTAH −10.6
–
–
Final
#10UCLA@Stanford
71%
29%
27
7
✓
UCLA −9.3
–
–
Final
Boise State@Utah State
6.4%
94%
20
24
✓
USU −24.0
–
–
Final
Virginia@Maryland
70%
30%
45
0
✓
UVA −8.8
–
–
Final
UAB@#19Virginia Tech
4.8%
95%
0
37
✓
VT −26.3
–
–
Final
USC@#4Washington
7.6%
92%
0
27
✓
WASH −22.5
–
–
Final
Western Michigan@Eastern Michigan
49%
51%
41
38
✗
WMU −0.3
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Wyoming
18%
82%
17
41
✓
WYO −14.0
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Nov 1 · TBD Idaho at Eastern Washington Idaho −3.7 58%