The MRI
FootballBasketball
2026 · Week 11

Week 7 slate, 1997

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 55 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

Chaos 9

Wilder than 9% of weeks in the archive.

8 upsets against 13.1 expected

  • Biggest shockMiami (OH) over Virginia Tech17% chance · won 24-17
  • Runner-upFresno State over Utah26% chance · won 27-13
  • Runner-upTemple over Pittsburgh27% chance · won 17-13

Upsets

Thu, Oct 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Utah@Fresno State
74%
26%
13
27
✗
UTAH −10.7
–
–

Fri, Oct 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final
Utah State@BYU
16%
84%
35
42
✓
BYU −16.4
–
–

Sat, Oct 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 48 games

Final
Central Michigan@Akron
60%
40%
14
53
✗
CMU −4.1
–
–
Final
San Diego State@Arizona
32%
68%
28
31
✓
ARIZ −7.9
–
–
Final
#18Auburn@South Carolina
72%
28%
23
6
✓
AUB −9.8
–
–
Final
Northern Illinois@Bowling Green
10%
90%
10
35
✓
BGSU −21.2
–
–
Final
UCF@Kent State
90%
10%
59
43
✓
UCF −21.1
–
–
Final
Memphis@Cincinnati
25%
75%
17
20
✓
CIN −11.5
–
–
Final
UTEP@Clemson
4.3%
96%
7
39
✓
CLEM −28.6
–
–
Final
Hawaii@Colorado State
7.8%
92%
0
63
✓
CSU −23.6
–
–
Final
Arkansas@#1Florida
1.4%
99%
7
56
✓
FLA −36.7
–
–
Final
#20Miami (FL)@#4Florida State
21%
79%
0
47
✓
FSU −13.5
–
–
Final
Mississippi State@Georgia
29%
71%
0
47
✓
UGA −9.5
–
–
Final
Georgia Tech@Boston College
58%
42%
42
14
✓
GT −3.3
–
–
Final
North Texas@Idaho
40%
60%
17
30
✓
Idaho −4.5
–
–
Final
Oklahoma@Kansas
38%
62%
17
20
✓
KU −5.2
–
–
Final
#19Alabama@KentuckyUpset
67%
33%
34
40
✗
ALA −7.1
–
–
Final
Louisiana@Arkansas State
42%
58%
41
38
✗
ARST −3.3
–
–
Final
#16LSU@Vanderbilt
84%
16%
7
6
✓
LSU −16.3
–
–
Final
California@Louisiana Tech
62%
38%
34
41
✗
CAL −5.0
–
–
Final
Duke@Maryland
41%
59%
10
16
✓
MD −3.9
–
–
Final
Miami (OH)@#9Virginia TechUpset
17%
83%
24
17
✗
VT −15.7
–
–
Final
#10Michigan@Indiana
86%
14%
37
0
✓
MICH −18.2
–
–
Final
Minnesota@#12Michigan State
6.9%
93%
10
31
✓
MSU −24.6
–
–
Final
Iowa State@Missouri
13%
87%
21
45
✓
MIZ −19.1
–
–
Final
#13Kansas State@#2Nebraska
23%
77%
26
56
✓
NEB −12.3
–
–
Final
SMU@New Mexico
30%
70%
15
22
✓
UNM −8.8
–
–
Final
#7North Carolina@TCU
96%
3.8%
31
10
✓
UNC −29.3
–
–
Final
Ohio@Eastern Michigan
80%
20%
47
7
✓
OHIO −13.9
–
–
Final
#11Iowa@#3Ohio State
31%
69%
7
23
✓
OSU −8.3
–
–
Final
Texas@Oklahoma State
43%
57%
16
42
✓
OKST −3.0
–
–
Final
San Jose State@Oregon State
9.3%
91%
12
26
✓
ORST −22.1
–
–
Final
#5Penn State@Illinois
96%
3.8%
41
6
✓
PSU −29.3
–
–
Final
Rice@Tulsa
69%
31%
42
24
✓
RICE −8.1
–
–
Final
UNLV@USC
8.3%
92%
21
35
✓
USC −23.0
–
–
Final
Louisville@Southern Miss
13%
87%
24
42
✓
USM −18.6
–
–
Final
Notre Dame@Stanford
49%
51%
15
33
✓
STAN −0.4
–
–
Final
East Carolina@#23Syracuse
17%
84%
0
56
✓
SYR −16.2
–
–
Final
Pittsburgh@Temple
73%
27%
13
17
✗
PITT −9.9
–
–
Final
Ole Miss@#6Tennessee
6.9%
93%
17
31
✓
TENN −24.7
–
–
Final
#15Texas A&M@#22Colorado
55%
45%
16
10
✓
TA&M −1.8
–
–
Final
Texas Tech@Baylor
66%
34%
35
14
✓
TTU −6.9
–
–
Final
Army@Tulane
34%
66%
0
41
✓
TULN −7.2
–
–
Final
Houston@#14UCLA
5.0%
95%
10
66
✓
UCLA −27.4
–
–
Final
Wake Forest@Virginia
26%
74%
13
21
✓
UVA −10.8
–
–
Final
#17Arizona State@#8Washington
33%
67%
14
26
✓
WASH −7.2
–
–
Final
#24Washington State@Oregon
62%
38%
24
13
✓
WSU −4.8
–
–
Final
Rutgers@West Virginia
3.0%
97%
0
48
✓
WVU −31.2
–
–
Final
Ball State@Western Michigan
43%
57%
13
21
✓
WMU −3.2
–
–
Final
Wisconsin@Northwestern
50%
50%
26
25
✓
PK
–
–

Against FCS opponents

WhenGame ModelWin
Sat, Oct 4 · TBD The Citadel at #25 Air Force Air Force −38.0 99%
Sat, Oct 4 · TBD Western Kentucky at UAB UAB −9.2 71%
Sat, Oct 4 · TBD Cal Poly at New Mexico State New Mexico State −5.5 63%
Sat, Oct 4 · TBD Northwestern State at Louisiana-Monroe Louisiana-Monroe −11.6 76%
Sat, Oct 4 · TBD Montana at #21 Wyoming Wyoming −36.2 98%